The Philadelphia Phillies (84-69) will look to Nicholas Castellanos, currently on a two-game homer streak, when they take on the New York Mets (71-82) and Mark Vientos, who has also homered in two straight games. It starts at 7:05 PM ET on Friday, at Citizens Bank Park.
The Phillies are favored at home (-169) against the Mets (+142). The contest has an over/under of 9.
The betting trends in this article reflect odds as of September 22, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -169 | +142 | 9 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have won 60 out of the 102 games, or 58.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Philadelphia has won 22 of its 36 games, or 61.1%, when favored by at least -169 on the moneyline.
- The Phillies have a 62.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 71 of its 153 games with a total this season.
- The Phillies are 70-83-0 ATS in their 153 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have won in 21, or 32.8%, of the 64 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, New York has come away with a win two times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +142 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 41.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- New York and its opponents have gone over in 64 of its 154 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Mets are 71-83-0 against the spread in their 154 games that had a posted line this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 2.76 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Taijuan Walker
- When Walker starts, his team is 17-12-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up five earned runs on eight hits in a matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals.
- Walker has pitched five or more innings in 17 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 29 chances this season.
- When Walker starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 14-4.
- Walker’s team has won 20 of his 29 starts.
- Out of Walker’s 29 starts with a total this season, 13 have hit the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 67 | 65 | 87 | 3.18 | 7 | 23 |
| Gregory Soto | 64 | 56.2 | 57 | 4.76 | 21 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 54 | 47 | 44 | 4.02 | 13 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 49 | 49.2 | 67 | 2.54 | 10 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 44 | 84.1 | 105 | 3.20 | 9 | 2 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Tylor Megill
- Megill gets the start for the Mets, his 24th of the season. He is 8-8 with a 4.94 ERA and 92 strikeouts over 113 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last time out came on Saturday against the Cincinnati Reds, when the right-hander went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up nine hits.
- Megill will try to continue a five-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.9 innings per appearance).
- In two of his 23 total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
- The Mets have a 6-9 record in Megill’s 15 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Over Megill’s 23 starts, his team is 10-13.
- Megill has had 23 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in seven of those matchups.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 63 | 59.2 | 59 | 2.87 | 12 | 11 |
| Brooks Raley | 62 | 52 | 58 | 2.94 | 24 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 60 | 56 | 60 | 4.34 | 10 | 1 |
| Drew Smith | 59 | 53.1 | 58 | 4.39 | 12 | 3 |
| Phil Bickford | 58 | 64.1 | 70 | 5.18 | 4 | 1 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have put up at least two long balls in 59 games this season, and are 43-16 in those outings.
- Philadelphia has gone 33-10 in its 43 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has put up at least eight hits 100 times this season, and has a 64-36 record in those games.
- Philadelphia is 63-17 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Phillies have drawn at least five walks in 58 games this season, and are 38-20 in those contests.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They have won 33 of the 54 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 28 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 22-6.
- In 85 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 57-28.
- In 72 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 53-19.
- They have a 18-15 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-169)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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