The Chicago Cubs (79-74) and Colorado Rockies (56-96) clash in the first of a three-game series on Friday at Wrigley Field, at 2:20 PM ET. The Cubs are coming off a series defeat to the Pirates, and the Rockies a series loss to the Padres.
The Rockies are an underdog away (+199) at the Cubs (-242). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of September 22, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Rockies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -242 | +199 | 8.5 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have entered the game as favorites 89 times this season and won 49, or 55.1%, of those games.
- Chicago has not entered a game this season as bigger favorites on the moneyline than the -242 odds on them winning this game.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 70.8% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
- Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 75 of its 153 chances.
- The Cubs are 72-81-0 against the spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.36 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Rockies Betting Insights
- The Rockies have won in 51, or 37.2%, of the 137 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Colorado has a win-loss record of 1-31 when favored by +199 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 33.4% chance of walking away with the win.
- Colorado’s games have gone over the total in 69 of its 152 opportunities.
- The Rockies are 75-77-0 against the spread in their 152 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Rockies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.66 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Jameson Taillon
- Taillon and his team are 11-16-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, Sept. 13, when he tossed five innings while giving up three earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
- Taillon has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 27 chances this season.
- Taillon’s team has been victorious in 35.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-9.
- Taillon’s team has won 10 of his 27 starts this season.
- Games Taillon has started this season hit the over 12 times in 27 chances.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 65 | 63.1 | 77 | 3.41 | 28 | 4 |
| Julian Merryweather | 64 | 67.1 | 91 | 3.48 | 16 | 1 |
| Jose Cuas | 63 | 61.2 | 68 | 4.23 | 8 | 0 |
| Daniel Palencia | 24 | 25 | 28 | 4.68 | 1 | 0 |
| Brad Boxberger | 21 | 20 | 17 | 4.95 | 1 | 2 |
Rockies Probable Pitcher – Noah Davis
- The Rockies will send Davis (0-2) to the mound to make his fifth start of the season. He is 0-2 with a 9.58 ERA and 18 strikeouts over 20 2/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent time out came in relief on Sunday when the right-hander threw two scoreless innings against the San Francisco Giants without giving up a hit.
- Davis enters the game with one outing of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- He has had two appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Rockies were named the moneyline underdog for three Davis starts this season — they lost every time.
- All four of Davis’ starts this season have been losses for his team.
- Davis has had four starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in two of those outings.
Rockies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lawrence | 63 | 70 | 70 | 3.86 | 10 | 11 |
| Jake Bird | 61 | 85 | 74 | 4.34 | 12 | 0 |
| Brent Suter | 50 | 64.2 | 49 | 3.76 | 6 | 0 |
| Daniel Bard | 48 | 47.1 | 44 | 5.32 | 6 | 1 |
| Matt Koch | 35 | 33.2 | 20 | 4.81 | 6 | 0 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs have a 40-22 record this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Chicago is 28-4 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together eight or more hits in 100 games this season, and is 70-30 in those contests.
- Chicago is 63-18 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Cubs have drawn at least five walks in 49 games this season, and are 27-22 in those contests.
Rockies Hitting Trends
- They are 19-14 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Colorado has won 14 of its 30 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 41 of the 92 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Colorado has a 41-23 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 16 of their 23 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Cubs vs. Rockies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-242)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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