The Minnesota Twins (81-72) will look to Willi Castro, riding a two-game homer streak, against the Los Angeles Angels (69-84) at 8:10 PM ET on Friday, at Target Field.
The Twins are a home favorite (-213) versus the Angels (+165). The matchup has an over/under set at 7.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of September 22, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Angels Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -213 | +165 | 7.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have won 61 out of the 102 games, or 59.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Minnesota has won eight of its 14 games, or 57.1%, when favored by at least -213 on the moneyline.
- The Twins have a 68.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 75 of 153 games with a total.
- The Twins have an ATS record of 76-77-0 in 153 games with a spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.48 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
Angels Betting Insights
- The Angels have won in 33, or 40.7%, of the 81 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Los Angeles has come away with a win three times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +165 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Angels have an implied victory probability of 37.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 79 of its 153 opportunities.
- The Angels have an against the spread mark of 71-82-0 in 153 games with a line this season.
Angels Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez
- Lopez and his team have a record of 13-17-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed eight hits in five innings pitched against the Chicago White Sox on Saturday.
- Lopez will look to finish five or more innings for the 22nd start in a row.
- He has six appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 30 chances this season.
- Lopez’s team is 16-8 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Lopez’s team has a 17-13 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Lopez’s 30 starts with a total this season, 15 have hit the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 67 | 63 | 64 | 3.86 | 23 | 3 |
| Emilio Pagán | 60 | 65.1 | 59 | 3.17 | 8 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 57 | 55.1 | 56 | 4.88 | 9 | 7 |
| Jhoan Duran | 56 | 59.1 | 80 | 2.43 | 1 | 26 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 32 | 28.1 | 32 | 1.91 | 14 | 0 |
Angels Probable Pitcher – Davis Daniel
- Daniel starts for the first time this season for the Angels.
- The 26-year-old righty is making his MLB debut.
- Daniel’s team was never a moneyline underdog a season ago in games he pitched.
Angels Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Estévez | 59 | 60.2 | 75 | 3.56 | 2 | 30 |
| Aaron Loup | 55 | 48.2 | 45 | 6.10 | 9 | 1 |
| Jose Soriano | 36 | 40 | 53 | 3.60 | 14 | 0 |
| Jimmy Herget | 25 | 26 | 23 | 3.81 | 5 | 0 |
| Andrew Wantz | 23 | 34.1 | 29 | 3.93 | 4 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have put up at least two round-trippers in 76 games this season, and are 57-19 in those outings.
- Minnesota has had five or more extra-base hits in 51 games this season, and has gone 42-9 in those contests.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits in 90 games this season, and is 68-22 in those contests.
- Minnesota is 73-14 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Twins have drawn at least five walks in 51 games this season, and are 33-18 in those contests.
Angels Hitting Trends
- They have won 37 of the 60 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Los Angeles has gone 23-9 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 51 of the 92 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Los Angeles has a 50-21 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 20 of their 36 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Twins vs. Angels Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-213)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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