The Kansas City Royals (51-102) take a three-game win streak into a home matchup versus the Houston Astros (85-68), at 8:10 PM ET on Friday.
The Royals are an underdog (+189 on the moneyline) when they take the field at the Astros (-232). The over/under for the game is set at 8 total runs.
The insights in what follows reflect odds as of September 22, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -232 | +189 | 8 |
Astros Betting Insights
- This season, the Astros have been favored 112 times and won 59, or 52.7%, of those games.
- Houston has a record of 13-4, a 76.5% win rate, when favored by -232 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 69.9% chance of a victory for the Astros.
- So far this season, Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 80 of 153 games with a total.
- The Astros are 76-77-0 against the spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have been underdogs in 132 games this season and have come away with the win 44 times (33.3%) in those contests.
- This season, Kansas City has been victorious six times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +189 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Royals have an implied victory probability of 34.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 73 of its 153 opportunities.
- The Royals have posted a record of 68-85-0 against the spread this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.91 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Framber Valdez
- Valdez and his team are 13-16-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander gave up no earned runs and allowed six hits in seven innings pitched against the Kansas City Royals on Sunday.
- Valdez has pitched five or more innings in nine straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has made 29 appearances and finished six of them without allowing an earned run.
- Valdez’s team has been victorious in 51.9% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 14-13.
- Valdez’s team has a 16-13 record in his starts this season.
- In games Valdez has started this season, the teams are 15-14-0 at hitting the over.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 66 | 67.1 | 91 | 1.87 | 24 | 4 |
| Héctor Neris | 64 | 62.2 | 71 | 1.87 | 28 | 2 |
| Kendall Graveman | 64 | 64 | 64 | 3.23 | 12 | 8 |
| Phil Maton | 63 | 62.1 | 70 | 3.18 | 8 | 1 |
| Rafael Montero | 63 | 64.1 | 74 | 5.04 | 10 | 1 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Cole Ragans
- Ragans makes the start for the Royals, his 12th of the season. He is 6-4 with a 3.44 ERA and 100 strikeouts through 83 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Saturday against the Houston Astros, the lefty went six innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Ragans will try to continue an 11-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 3.1 innings per appearance).
- He has had 15 appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Royals have been the underdog on the moneyline in seven of Ragans’ starts this season, and they went 3-4 in those games.
- Ragans’ team has won five of his 11 starts.
- Ragans has had 11 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in four of those games.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 56 | 66.2 | 75 | 5.13 | 14 | 4 |
| Taylor Clarke | 52 | 55.2 | 63 | 5.66 | 12 | 2 |
| Tucker Davidson | 33 | 49 | 45 | 6.06 | 0 | 2 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Jackson Kowar | 20 | 25.2 | 28 | 4.91 | 0 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have a 40-15 record this season in games when they belt two or more homers.
- Houston is 27-9 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 78-27 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- Houston has a 73-14 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Astros are 40-9 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They have won 20 of the 38 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 34 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 17-17.
- They have a record of 39-47 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Kansas City has won 36 of its 53 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 21 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 8-13
Astros vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-232)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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