The Chicago Cubs (79-73) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (71-81) at 7:40 PM ET on Thursday, with both teams hoping to win the series.
The Pirates (+147 underdog moneyline odds to win) visit the Cubs (-177). The over/under for this game is 8.5.
The betting trends in the following article reference odds valid as of September 21, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -177 | +147 | 8.5 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- This season, the Cubs have been favored 88 times and won 49, or 55.7%, of those games.
- Chicago is 7-8 this season when entering a game favored by -177 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 63.9% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
- Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 74 of its 152 games with a total this season.
- The Cubs have an ATS record of 72-80-0 in 152 games with a spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.90 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have won in 51, or 42.5%, of the 120 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 19 times in 38 chances when named as an underdog of at least +147 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 40.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 81 of its 152 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Pirates have posted a record of 76-76-0 against the spread this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.42 |
| K/9 | 6.9 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Kyle Hendricks
- Hendricks and his team are 10-12-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in 5 1/3 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- Hendricks has pitched five or more innings in eight straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in 22 chances this season.
- Hendricks’ team has won 63.6% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (7-4).
- Hendricks’ team is 12-10 when he starts this season.
- Games Hendricks has started this season hit the over 10 times in 22 chances.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 65 | 63.1 | 77 | 3.41 | 28 | 4 |
| Julian Merryweather | 63 | 67 | 91 | 3.09 | 16 | 1 |
| Jose Cuas | 63 | 61.2 | 68 | 4.23 | 8 | 0 |
| Daniel Palencia | 23 | 24.1 | 26 | 4.81 | 1 | 0 |
| Hayden Wesneski | 21 | 84.1 | 77 | 4.59 | 2 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Juan Carlos Oviedo
- Oviedo gets the start for the Pirates, his 31st of the season. He is 8-14 with a 4.27 ERA and 147 strikeouts in 166 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s most recent appearance was on Friday against the New York Yankees, when he went five innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up four hits.
- Oviedo heads into this matchup with 22 outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- In three of his appearances this season he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Pirates have been the moneyline underdog in 23 of Oviedo’s starts this season, and they went 7-16 in those games.
- Over Oviedo’s 30 starts, his team is 12-18.
- Oviedo has had 30 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 14 of those outings.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 60 | 63 | 72 | 1.86 | 0 | 36 |
| Colin Holderman | 56 | 55.1 | 58 | 3.42 | 27 | 2 |
| Jose Hernandez | 44 | 46.1 | 58 | 4.47 | 5 | 0 |
| Ryan Borucki | 31 | 36 | 31 | 2.75 | 6 | 0 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | 29 | 31.2 | 30 | 1.99 | 8 | 0 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs have a 40-22 record in games this season when they belt at least two home runs.
- Chicago has collected at least five extra-base hits in 32 games this season, and has gone 28-4 in those contests.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits in 99 games this season, and is 70-29 in those contests.
- Chicago is 63-17 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Cubs are 27-21 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 38 games this season and are 29-9 in those matchups.
- Pittsburgh has won 24 of its 30 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 51-23 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 57 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 45-12.
- They have won 21 of their 42 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-177)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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