The Milwaukee Brewers (86-66) match up against the St. Louis Cardinals (67-85) after Tyrone Taylor hit a pair of home runs in an 8-2 victory over the Cardinals. The game starts at 1:15 PM ET on Thursday.
The Brewers (-110 moneyline odds to win) play the Cardinals (-109) in an expected tight contest. The matchup has an over/under set at 9 total runs.
The betting facts in what follows reference odds valid as of September 21, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -110 | -109 | 9 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 81 times this season and won 47, or 58%, of those games.
- Milwaukee has a record of 48-34, a 58.5% win rate, when favored by -110 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 52.4%.
- Games involving Milwaukee has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 69 of 152 chances this season.
- The Brewers have an ATS record of 78-74-0 in 152 games with a spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 1.98 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have been victorious in 33, or 44%, of the 75 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- St. Louis has a mark of 31-42 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by -109 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 52.2% chance of pulling out a win.
- St. Louis and its opponents have gone over in 74 of its 151 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Cardinals have posted a record of 70-81-0 against the spread this season.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.9 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 5.22 |
| K/9 | 6.8 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Wade Miley
- Miley’s team is 11-10-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander gave up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
- In 21 starts this season, Miley has lasted five or more innings 17 times, with an average of 5.2 innings per appearance.
- He has made 21 appearances and finished five of them without allowing an earned run.
- Miley’s team has been victorious in 50% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-4.
- Miley’s team has a 13-8 record in his starts this season.
- In Miley’s 21 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over nine times.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 69 | 61.1 | 56 | 2.05 | 17 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 64 | 68 | 73 | 2.51 | 27 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 58 | 56.2 | 84 | 1.59 | 0 | 35 |
| Andrew Chafin | 55 | 47 | 61 | 5.17 | 12 | 8 |
| Bryse Wilson | 50 | 73 | 58 | 2.59 | 4 | 3 |
Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Miles Mikolas
- Mikolas makes the start for the Cardinals, his 33rd of the season. He is 7-12 with a 4.84 ERA and 118 strikeouts in 182 1/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander’s most recent time out was on Saturday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he threw six innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Mikolas will look to pitch five or more innings for his sixth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.7 frames per outing.
- In five of his appearances this season he has not surrender an earned run.
- The Cardinals have a 5-10 record in Mikolas’ 15 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Mikolas’ team has compiled a 13-19 record in his 32 starts.
- Mikolas has started 31 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 16 of them.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante | 57 | 64 | 42 | 4.92 | 14 | 0 |
| Drew VerHagen | 55 | 57 | 56 | 4.11 | 12 | 0 |
| John King | 31 | 34.1 | 18 | 3.93 | 10 | 0 |
| Ryan Helsley | 29 | 33.1 | 45 | 2.43 | 2 | 12 |
| Zack Thompson | 16 | 61 | 67 | 4.57 | 1 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have put up at least two dingers in 54 games this season, and are 44-10 in those contests.
- Milwaukee has won each of its 21 games this season when putting up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has put up at least eight hits 78 times this season, and has a 59-19 record in those games.
- Milwaukee is 71-10 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Brewers have drawn at least five walks in 53 games this season, and are 40-13 in those contests.
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- They have won 44 of the 67 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- St. Louis has won 34 of its 41 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 64 of the 102 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- St. Louis has won 58 of its 74 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 49 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 20-29
Brewers vs. Cardinals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-110)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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