The Philadelphia Phillies (83-69) and New York Mets (71-81) battle in NL East action, on Thursday at 7:15 PM ET.
The Phillies are a home favorite (-166) against the Mets (+140). The total in the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of September 21, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -166 | +140 | 8.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have been favored 101 times and won 59, or 58.4%, of those games.
- Philadelphia has a record of 23-15, a 60.5% win rate, when favored by -166 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.4% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 70 of its 152 games with a total this season.
- In 152 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 70-82-0 ATS.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.65 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have won in 21, or 33.3%, of the 63 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, New York has been victorious two times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +140 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 41.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with New York has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 63 of 153 chances this season.
- The Mets are 70-83-0 against the spread in their 153 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 2.63 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Ranger Suarez
- Suarez’s team is 11-9-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on four hits in a matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals.
- Suarez will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in 20 chances this season.
- Suarez’s team has a record of 6-6 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Suarez’s team is 11-9 when he starts this season.
- In Suarez’s 20 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over seven times.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 66 | 64 | 85 | 3.23 | 6 | 23 |
| Gregory Soto | 64 | 56.2 | 57 | 4.76 | 21 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 54 | 47 | 44 | 4.02 | 13 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 48 | 49.1 | 67 | 2.55 | 9 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 44 | 84.1 | 105 | 3.20 | 9 | 2 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – David Peterson
- Peterson gets the start for the Mets, his 20th of the season. He is 3-8 with a 5.22 ERA and 113 strikeouts through 100 2/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent appearance came on Friday against the Cincinnati Reds, when the lefty threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Peterson is trying for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.0 innings per start.
- In six of his appearances this season he has not give up an earned run.
- The Mets have a 3-7 record in Peterson’s 10 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- In Peterson’s 19 starts, his team is 6-13.
- Peterson has started 19 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 11 of them.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 63 | 59.2 | 59 | 2.87 | 12 | 11 |
| Brooks Raley | 62 | 52 | 58 | 2.94 | 24 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 60 | 56 | 60 | 4.34 | 10 | 1 |
| Drew Smith | 59 | 53.1 | 58 | 4.39 | 12 | 3 |
| Phil Bickford | 58 | 64.1 | 70 | 5.18 | 4 | 1 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 42-16 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
- Philadelphia has gone 33-10 in its 43 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has notched at least eight hits 100 times this season, and has a 64-36 record in those games.
- Philadelphia has a 62-17 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Phillies have drawn five or more walks in 58 games this season, and are 38-20 in those contests.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They are 33-21 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- New York has gone 22-6 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 84 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 57-27.
- New York has a 53-19 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 33 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 18-15
Phillies vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-166)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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