Sam Howell: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 3 Commanders Vs Bills – September 24, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 20, 2023

Week 3 of the NFL season features Sam Howell and the Washington Commanders matching up against the Buffalo Bills at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

Sam Howell Player Props vs the Bills

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
222.5 -115 1.5 +154 13.5 -110 +320

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 1 0
Games w/ 1+ TDs 2 1
Games w/ 2+ TDs 1 0

Sam Howell’s Passing Trends

  • Howell has passed for 501 yards (250.5 per game) while completing 65.7% of his passes (46-for-70), with three touchdowns and one interception.
  • Howell finds himself 11th in the NFL with 7.2 yards per attempt as a passer (501 total yards passing).
  • Howell ranks 13th in the league in passing yards (501) and 10th in passing TDs (three).

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Howell’s Rushing Trends

  • Howell has added 24 rushing yards (12.0 ypg) on four carries while scoring one touchdown on the ground.
  • He racks up 6.0 yards per carry (24 yards on four attempts).

This Week’s Predictions

Howell (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Bills (2023) Prediction
222.5+ Passing Yards 50% 54.5% 0% 38.1%
1+ Passing TDs 100% 81.8% 100% 97.7%
2+ Passing TDs 50% 37.9% 0% 36%
13.5+ Rushing Yards 0% 94% 66.7% 28.4%
1+ Rushing TDs 50% 35% 0% 35.6%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 9% 0% 1.1%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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