Patrick Mahomes II and his Kansas City Chiefs teammates take the field against the Chicago Bears in a Week 3 NFL matchup at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday.
Patrick Mahomes II Player Props vs the Bears
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 286.5 | -115 | 2.5 | +110 | 23.5 | -110 | +225 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Passing | Rushing | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 1 | 2 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 2 | 0 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 2 | 0 |
Patrick Mahomes II’s Passing Trends
- Mahomes has passed for 531 yards (265.5 per game) while completing 62.5% of his passes (50-for-80), with four touchdowns and two interceptions.
- Mahomes ranks 17th in the league with 6.6 yards per attempt passing (531 total yards passing).
- Mahomes is fourth in the NFL with four passing touchdowns, and 11th with 531 passing yards.
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Mahomes’ Rushing Trends
- Mahomes has also chipped in on the ground, with 75 rushing yards (37.5 ypg) on 13 carries.
- He ranks seventh in the NFL with 5.8 rushing yards per attempt.
This Week’s Predictions
| Mahomes (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Bears (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 286.5+ Passing Yards | 50% | 25.8% | 50% | 47% |
| 1+ Passing TDs | 100% | 81.8% | 100% | 97.7% |
| 2+ Passing TDs | 100% | 37.9% | 50% | 79.7% |
| 23.5+ Rushing Yards | 100% | 87% | 50% | 85.9% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 35% | 50% | 16.9% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 9% | 0% | 1.1% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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