The Atlanta Braves (97-55) and Washington Nationals (68-85) battle in NL East action, on Thursday at 7:05 PM ET.
The Nationals are a big underdog (+214 moneyline odds) when they take the field at home against the Braves (-262). The game’s total is 9.
The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of September 21, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -262 | +214 | 9 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have won 89 out of the 138 games, or 64.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Atlanta has won 12 of its 17 games, or 70.6%, when favored by at least -262 on the moneyline.
- The Braves have a 72.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 85 of 152 games with a total.
- The Braves are 79-73-0 against the spread in their 152 chances this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 7.28 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have won in 58, or 41.4%, of the 140 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Washington has a mark of 6-11 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +214 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 31.8% chance of walking away with the win.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 72 of its 152 opportunities.
- The Nationals are 81-71-0 against the spread in their 152 games that had a posted line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.34 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Braves or Nationals, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!
Braves Probable Pitcher – Max Fried
- When Fried starts, his team is 7-5-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander gave up one earned run in five innings pitched on Tuesday, Sept. 12 in his last outing, a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Fried has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has finished five appearances without allowing an earned run in 13 chances this season.
- When Fried starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 9-3.
- In games Fried has started, his team is 9-3.
- Out of Fried’s 12 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 66 | 61.2 | 79 | 3.79 | 19 | 10 |
| Pierce Johnson | 63 | 60 | 85 | 4.65 | 11 | 13 |
| Kirby Yates | 56 | 57.1 | 77 | 3.30 | 8 | 5 |
| Brad Hand | 56 | 50.2 | 55 | 4.97 | 4 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 54 | 52.2 | 69 | 3.25 | 12 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Jake Irvin
- The Nationals will send Irvin (3-6) out to make his 24th start of the season. He is 3-6 with a 4.34 ERA and 98 strikeouts in 118 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Saturday, the right-hander threw 4 2/3 innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, allowing four earned runs while surrendering three hits.
- Irvin has put together 15 starts this season that he pitched five or more innings.
- He has had two appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Nationals have a 9-12 record in Irvin’s 21 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Irvin’s team has compiled an 11-12 record in his 23 starts.
- Irvin’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 11 of 23 contests.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 63 | 66.1 | 61 | 3.66 | 8 | 26 |
| Hunter Harvey | 54 | 57 | 64 | 2.84 | 18 | 10 |
| Jordan Weems | 46 | 51 | 54 | 3.00 | 7 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 39 | 44.1 | 37 | 4.87 | 4 | 0 |
| Jose Ferrer | 35 | 32 | 22 | 3.66 | 5 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have hit two or more dingers in 84 games this season, and are 62-22 in those outings.
- Atlanta is 35-6 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits 107 times this season, and has a 74-33 record in those games.
- Atlanta has a 77-22 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Braves have drawn at least five walks in 41 games this season, and are 29-12 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 39 games this season and are 25-14 in those matchups.
- Washington has won 19 of its 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 54 of the 98 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Washington has won 47 of its 65 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 28 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-11
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-262)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!
Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.
