Padres vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 20, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 20, 2023

The Colorado Rockies (56-95) carry a three-game losing streak into a home matchup versus the San Diego Padres (74-78), at 4:10 PM ET on Wednesday.

The Padres are a home favorite (-255) versus the Rockies (+211). The contest has a set total of 8.5.

The insights in the following article use the latest odds as of September 20, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Padres -255 +211 8.5

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have entered the game as favorites 114 times this season and won 62, or 54.4%, of those games.
  • San Diego has a record of 5-2 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -255 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 71.8% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 65 of 152 games with a total.
  • In 152 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 75-77-0 ATS.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.2
HR 18
ERA 5.17
K/9 9.9

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have been victorious in 51, or 37.5%, of the 136 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Colorado has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +211 or worse on the moneyline this season.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 32.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Colorado and its opponents have hit the over in 69 of its 151 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Rockies are 74-77-0 against the spread in their 151 games that had a posted line this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 8
ERA 5.07
K/9 7.1

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Seth Lugo

  • Lugo and his team have a record of 11-13-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs in six innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Oakland Athletics.
  • Lugo has made 20 starts of five or more innings in 24 chances this season, and averages 5.5 frames when he pitches.
  • He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in 24 chances this season.
  • Lugo’s team has been victorious in 45% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 9-11.
  • Lugo’s team has won 10 of his 24 starts.
  • In Lugo’s 24 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 10 times.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Luís Garcia 56 57 51 4.11 9 0
Scott Barlow 55 61.2 73 4.52 5 13
Josh Hader 55 51 79 1.24 0 30
Nick Martínez 53 101.1 95 3.73 15 1
Tom Cosgrove 45 47 42 1.91 4 0

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Chase Anderson

  • The Rockies are sending Anderson (0-5) to the mound to make his 16th start of the season. He is 0-5 with a 6.00 ERA and 57 strikeouts over 75 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Saturday, the righty threw seven innings against the San Francisco Giants, allowing one earned run without surrendering a hit.
  • Anderson will try to secure his ninth matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 4.4 innings per appearance.
  • In four of his 17 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
  • The Rockies have been the moneyline underdog in 14 of Anderson’s starts this season, and they went 7-7 in those games.
  • Anderson’s team has a 7-8 record in his starts this season.
  • Anderson has had 15 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and nine of those outings finished over the total.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Justin Lawrence 62 69.1 69 3.89 10 11
Jake Bird 61 85 74 4.34 12 0
Brent Suter 50 64.2 49 3.76 6 0
Daniel Bard 48 47.1 44 5.32 6 1
Matt Koch 35 33.2 20 4.81 6 0

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres are 39-27 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
  • San Diego has put up five or more extra-base hits in 34 games this season, and has gone 26-8 in those contests.
  • The team has racked up eight or more hits in 83 games this season, and is 57-26 in those contests.
  • San Diego has a 60-13 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Padres are 33-27 in the 60 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They are 19-14 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Colorado has won 14 of its 30 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 41-50 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Colorado has won 41 of its 64 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 23 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 16-7

Padres vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-255)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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