The Cincinnati Reds (79-74) and Minnesota Twins (80-72) play a rubber match on Wednesday at 12:35 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Twins are road underdogs (+108) versus the Reds (-128). The total in the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting facts in the article below reference odds valid as of September 20, 2023 at 11:12 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Reds vs Twins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -128 | +108 | 8.5 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been favorites in 37 games this season and won 22 (59.5%) of those contests.
- Cincinnati has a record of 10-6 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -128 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 56.1% chance to win.
- So far this season, Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 74 of 153 games with a total.
- The Reds are 89-64-0 ATS in their 153 games with a spread this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.15 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have won in 19, or 38.8%, of the 49 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Minnesota has a win-loss record of 11-16 when favored by +108 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Twins have an implied victory probability of 48.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 75 of its 152 opportunities.
- The Twins have an against the spread record of 75-77-0 in 152 games with a line this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.38 |
| K/9 | 10.8 |
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Reds Probable Pitcher – Hunter Greene
- Greene’s team is 9-10-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed four hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the New York Mets on Friday.
- Greene will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- He has made 19 appearances and finished five of them without allowing an earned run.
- Greene’s team has won 33.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-4).
- Greene’s team is 8-11 when he starts this season.
- Out of Greene’s 19 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 66 | 70.1 | 66 | 3.07 | 22 | 2 |
| Buck Farmer | 65 | 71.1 | 65 | 3.91 | 10 | 3 |
| Alexis Diaz | 64 | 64.1 | 84 | 2.10 | 1 | 37 |
| Sam Moll | 63 | 57.2 | 64 | 3.28 | 9 | 1 |
| Lucas Sims | 60 | 56 | 69 | 3.38 | 22 | 3 |
Twins Probable Pitcher – Bailey Ober
- Ober (7-6) gets the starting nod for the Twins in his 24th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.67 ERA in 127 2/3 innings pitched, with 126 strikeouts.
- In his most recent time out on Friday against the Chicago White Sox, the right-hander went five innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Ober enters this game with 21 outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- He has had three appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Twins have been the underdog on the moneyline in seven of Ober’s starts this season, and they went 5-2 in those matchups.
- Ober’s team has won 14 of his 23 starts.
- Ober has started 23 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in nine of them.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 66 | 62 | 63 | 3.92 | 23 | 2 |
| Emilio Pagán | 60 | 65.1 | 59 | 3.17 | 8 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 57 | 55.1 | 56 | 4.88 | 9 | 7 |
| Jhoan Duran | 55 | 58.1 | 78 | 2.47 | 1 | 26 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 32 | 28.1 | 32 | 1.91 | 14 | 0 |
Reds Hitting Trends
- The Reds have a 36-15 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- Cincinnati has put up five or more extra-base hits in 39 games this season, and has gone 30-9 in those contests.
- The team has totaled at least eight hits in 99 games this season, and is 70-29 in those contests.
- Cincinnati is 71-14 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Reds are 24-21 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Twins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 76 games this season and are 57-19 in those matchups.
- In 51 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 42-9.
- They have a record of 67-22 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Minnesota has won 72 of its 86 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 33-18 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Reds vs. Twins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (-128)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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