The Houston Astros (84-68) are looking for continued production from a slugger on a roll versus the Baltimore Orioles (95-56) on Wednesday at 2:10 PM ET, at Minute Maid Park. Yainer Diaz is on a two-game homer streak.
The Orioles are the road favorite (-120) versus the Astros (+101). The total for this game is 9.
The betting insights in the article below reflect odds as of September 20, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Astros Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -120 | +101 | 9 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have been favorites in 74 games this season and won 50 (67.6%) of those contests.
- Baltimore has a record of 47-17, a 73.4% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The Orioles have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Baltimore has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 80 of 151 chances this season.
- The Orioles are 93-58-0 against the spread in their 151 chances this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.76 |
| K/9 | 6.2 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have been victorious in 25, or 64.1%, of the 39 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Houston has a win-loss record of 16-12 when favored by +101 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 49.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 80 of its 152 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Astros are 75-77-0 against the spread in their 152 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.70 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Bradish
- Bradish and his team are 17-10-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs in seven innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
- Bradish has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has finished seven appearances without allowing an earned run in 27 chances this season.
- Bradish’s team has a record of 12-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Bradish has started, his team is 18-9.
- Out of Bradish’s 27 starts with a total this season, 12 have hit the over.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeinier Cano | 66 | 69.2 | 59 | 1.94 | 29 | 7 |
| Cionel Pérez | 60 | 51.1 | 43 | 3.16 | 10 | 2 |
| Michael Baumann | 57 | 63.2 | 60 | 3.82 | 6 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 56 | 55.2 | 46 | 6.31 | 10 | 3 |
| Danny Coulombe | 55 | 47.1 | 53 | 2.47 | 22 | 2 |
Astros Probable Pitcher – Cristian Javier
- Javier goes for his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Astros, his 29th of the season. He is 9-4 with a 4.74 ERA and 138 strikeouts in 146 1/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent appearance came on Saturday against the Kansas City Royals, when the righty threw five innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Javier has pitched five or more innings in a game 21 times this season entering this matchup.
- In one of his appearances this season he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Astros are 8-1 in Javier’s nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Javier’s team has put together a 19-9 record in his 28 starts.
- Javier has had 28 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 18 of those matchups.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 65 | 66 | 90 | 1.91 | 24 | 4 |
| Héctor Neris | 63 | 61.2 | 71 | 1.90 | 28 | 2 |
| Kendall Graveman | 63 | 63.1 | 63 | 3.27 | 12 | 8 |
| Phil Maton | 63 | 62.1 | 70 | 3.18 | 8 | 1 |
| Rafael Montero | 63 | 64.1 | 74 | 5.04 | 10 | 1 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles have put up at least two round-trippers in 57 games this season, and are 43-14 in those outings.
- Baltimore has had five or more extra-base hits in 40 games this season, and has gone 37-3 in those outings.
- The team has totaled eight or more hits in 99 games this season, and is 72-27 in those contests.
- Baltimore is 75-11 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Orioles have gone 28-9 over the 37 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Astros Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 55 games this season and are 40-15 in those matchups.
- Houston has gone 27-9 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 78 of the 105 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Houston has a 73-14 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 39-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Orioles vs. Astros Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (+101)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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