Tua Tagovailoa: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 3 Dolphins Vs Broncos – September 24, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 19, 2023

Week 3 NFL action will see Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins match up against the Denver Broncos at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

Tua Tagovailoa Player Props vs the Broncos

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
264.5 -115 1.5 -140 4.5 -115 +400

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 1 1
Games w/ 1+ TDs 2 0
Games w/ 2+ TDs 1 0

Tua Tagovailoa’s Passing Trends

  • Tagovailoa leads Miami with 715 passing yards (357.5 per game) and has a 65.3% completion percentage (49-for-75), tossing four touchdowns and two interceptions.
  • Tagovailoa currently ranks first in the NFL with 9.5 yards per attempt passing (715 total yards passing).
  • Tagovailoa ranks second in the NFL with 715 passing yards, and fourth with four touchdowns.

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Tagovailoa’s Rushing Trends

  • Tagovailoa has also helped out on the ground, with eight rushing yards (4.0 ypg) on nine carries.
  • He averages 0.9 rushing yards per carry.

This Week’s Predictions

Tagovailoa (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Broncos (2023) Prediction
264.5+ Passing Yards 50% 27.3% 50% 47.2%
1+ Passing TDs 100% 81.8% 100% 97.7%
2+ Passing TDs 50% 37.9% 100% 61%
4.5+ Rushing Yards 50% 99% 100% 68.6%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 35% 33.3% 12.7%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 9% 33.3% 9.4%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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