Dodgers vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 19, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 19, 2023

The Los Angeles Dodgers (92-57) will aim to keep a four-game win streak going when they host the Detroit Tigers (70-80) at 10:10 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Tigers (+207 underdog moneyline odds) are away versus the Dodgers (-252). The over/under in the game is set at 8.5 total runs.

The insights in this article reflect odds as of September 19, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Tigers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -252 +207 8.5

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have been favorites in 124 games this season and won 79 (63.7%) of those contests.
  • This season Los Angeles has won 12 of its 14 games, or 85.7%, when favored by at least -252 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Dodgers, based on the moneyline, is 71.6%.
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 85 of its 148 chances.
  • The Dodgers are 83-65-0 against the spread in their 148 chances this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.7
HR 18
ERA 3.58
K/9 10.2

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 117 games this year and have walked away with the win 50 times (42.7%) in those games.
  • Detroit has a win-loss record of 3-6 when favored by +207 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 32.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with Detroit has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 73 of 151 chances this season.
  • The Tigers are 80-71-0 against the spread in their 151 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 11
ERA 3.36
K/9 10.8

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Caleb Ferguson

  • Ferguson’s team is 4-1-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the Detroit Tigers, throwing one scoreless inning of relief without allowing a hit.
  • In six starts this season, Ferguson has yet to pitch five or more innings. He averages 0.9 frames per appearance.
  • If he manages to end his start without allowing an earned run, he’d extend his streak of appearances with no earned runs to 10.
  • When Ferguson starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-1.
  • Ferguson’s team is 5-1 when he starts this season.
  • Games Ferguson has started this season hit the over one time in five chances.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Brusdar Graterol 60 62.1 45 1.3 18 7
Caleb Ferguson 56 55.1 63 2.77 18 3
Evan Phillips 55 56.2 61 2.38 6 23
Ryan Brasier 52 56 54 3.21 10 2
Alex Vesia 50 45 60 4.6 10 1

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Miguel Diaz

  • The Tigers are sending Diaz (0-0) to the mound to make his second start of the season.
  • His last appearance came on Sunday against the Los Angeles Angels, when the right-hander threw one scoreless inning while allowing just one hit.
  • He is trying to make his eighth straight outing with no earned runs surrendered.
  • The Tigers have always been the moneyline underdog when Diaz starts this season.
  • His team has won the only game he’s appeared in this season.
  • Diaz’s lone start with a total this season went under.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Foley 64 64 53 2.39 26 7
Alex Lange 61 61 74 3.84 5 24
José Cisnero 58 55.1 65 5.69 14 2
Tyler Holton 52 77 68 2.1 13 1
Will Vest 39 43.1 50 2.91 10 1

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers have racked up two or more home runs in 75 games this season, and are 56-19 in those contests.
  • Los Angeles has put up five or more extra-base hits in 44 games this season, and has gone 35-9 in those contests.
  • The team has strung together eight or more hits 99 times this season, and has a 74-25 record in those games.
  • Los Angeles has a 77-20 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Dodgers are 43-20 over the 63 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They are 30-13 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Detroit has gone 24-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 62-25 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 65 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 50-15.
  • They have a 24-12 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Dodgers vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-252)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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