Dolphins vs. Broncos Predictions, Betting Trends and Stats – Week 3

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 19, 2023

When the Miami Dolphins (2-0) and the Denver Broncos (0-2) go head to head on Sunday, September 24 at 1:00 PM ET, the Dolphins will be aiming to follow up their recent victory over the Patriots with another win, and the Broncos will be trying to bounce back from a loss to the Commanders.

The Dolphins are 6-point favorites in their matchup with the Broncos. The total is 47 points.

The insights in what follows reflect odds as of September 24, 2023 at 11:12 AM ET. Keep scrolling for a look at all of the latest odds for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dolphins Vs Broncos Odds

Favorite Spread Over/Under
Dolphins -6 47

Dolphins vs. Broncos Predictions

Computer picks for Dolphins vs Broncos
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Dolphins (-6) Over (47)

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Team Stat Rankings (2022)

Dolphins Broncos
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 23.4 (11) 16.9 (32)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 23.5 (24) 21.1 (14)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 6.1 (2) 5.1 (23)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.3 (13) 5.0 (3)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 21 (8) 24 (26)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 14 (30) 23 (14)

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Dolphins Betting Insights

  • The Dolphins’ record against the spread last year was 7-8-2.
  • Miami went winless ATS (0-1-1) when playing as at least 6-point favorites last season.
  • In 17 Miami games last year, eight hit the over.
  • Dolphins games had more than 47 points scored on eight occasions last season.
  • The over/under in this game is 47 points, 0.2 higher than the average total in Miami games last season.

Broncos Betting Insights

  • Against the spread, the Broncos were 7-10-0 last year.
  • Denver had an ATS record of 3-0 as underdogs of 6 points or more last season.
  • The Broncos had six of their 17 games go over the point total last season.
  • Denver games went over 47 points on five occasions last year.
  • Games involving the Broncos last year averaged 41.4 points per game, a 5.6-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Dolphins Players to Watch

  • Tua Tagovailoa’s previous season stat line: 3,548 passing yards (272.9 per game), 259-for-400 (64.8%), 25 touchdowns and eight picks.
  • Last year Raheem Mostert went to work rushing, for 891 yards on 181 carries (55.7 yards per game) with three touchdowns.
  • Braxton Berrios churned out 91 yards on nine carries (5.4 yards per game), with two rushing touchdowns last season.
  • Tyreek Hill reeled in 119 catches for 1,710 yards (100.6 per game) while being targeted 170 times. He also scored seven touchdowns.
  • Robby Anderson produced last year, catching 20 passes for 282 yards and one touchdown. He collected 17.6 receiving yards per game.
  • Bradley Chubb’s hard work last season produced a stat line of 8.0 sacks, 5.0 TFL and 39 tackles.
  • Last season Jerome Baker racked up 100 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and 4.0 sacks.
  • David Long intercepted two passes last year while also totaling 86 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and five passes defended.

Broncos Players to Watch

  • Russell Wilson passed for 16 touchdowns and 11 interceptions while collecting 3,524 yards by the end of last campaign (234.9 ypg). He also scored three touchdowns on 18.5 rushing yards per game.
  • Samaje Perine averaged 24.6 rushing yards per game and accumulated two rushing touchdowns last year. Perine complemented his performance on the ground with 2.4 receptions per game to average 17.9 receiving yards.
  • Jerry Jeudy averaged 64.8 yards on 4.5 receptions per game and compiled six receiving touchdowns in 2022.
  • Courtland Sutton averaged 55.3 receiving yards on 7.3 targets per game in 2022, scoring two touchdowns.
  • Last year Zach Allen collected 5.5 sacks, 9.0 TFL and 47 tackles.
  • Alex Singleton was a force on the field last season with 152 tackles and 6.0 TFL.
  • A year ago Patrick Surtain II collected 60 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 10 passes defended as well as two interceptions.

How to Bet on Dolphins vs Broncos

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