Padres vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 19, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 19, 2023

The San Diego Padres (73-78) will try to keep a five-game winning streak alive when they host the Colorado Rockies (56-94) at 9:40 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Rockies are a heavy road underdog (+225) versus the Padres (-292). The over/under for the game is 9 total runs.

The betting trends in the article below reference odds valid as of September 19, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Padres -292 +225 9

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have won 61, or 54%, of the 113 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • San Diego has not been bigger favorites this season than the -292 moneyline set for this game.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 74.5% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 65 of 151 games with a total.
  • In 151 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 74-77-0 ATS.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 7.1
HR 19
ERA 5.38
K/9 9.6

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have come away with 51 wins in the 135 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Colorado has been a moneyline underdog of -292 or longer 18 times, losing every contest.
  • The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 30.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Colorado and its opponents have gone over in 69 of its 150 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Rockies have posted a record of 74-76-0 against the spread this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 8
ERA 5.79
K/9 6.8

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Blake Snell

  • Snell and his team are 17-13-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The left-hander did not allow a run in six innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • Snell has 21 starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • In 30 appearances this season, he has finished 11 without allowing an earned run.
  • Snell’s team has been victorious in 60.9% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 14-9.
  • Snell’s team has a 16-14 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Snell have an 11-18-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Luís Garcia 56 57 51 4.11 9 0
Scott Barlow 55 61.2 73 4.52 5 13
Josh Hader 54 50 79 1.26 0 30
Nick Martínez 53 101.1 95 3.73 15 1
Tom Cosgrove 45 47 42 1.91 4 0

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Ryan Feltner

  • Feltner gets the start for the Rockies, his ninth of the season. He is 2-3 with a 5.86 ERA and 33 strikeouts over 35 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His last time out came on Sunday, May 14 against the Philadelphia Phillies, when the right-hander went 1 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • Feltner is looking to collect his fifth start of five or more innings this year in this outing.
  • He has had two appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Rockies have a 4-3 record in Feltner’s seven starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Feltner’s team has won five of his eight starts.
  • Feltner has had eight starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and four of those games hit the over.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Justin Lawrence 61 68.1 69 3.95 10 11
Jake Bird 61 85 74 4.34 12 0
Brent Suter 50 64.2 49 3.76 6 0
Matt Koch 35 33.2 20 4.81 6 0
Gavin Hollowell 20 26.2 25 5.4 3 1

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres have racked up at least two home runs in 66 games this season, and are 39-27 in those outings.
  • San Diego has gone 26-8 in its 34 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club is 57-26 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
  • San Diego is 60-13 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Padres have drawn at least five walks in 59 games this season, and are 32-27 in those contests.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 33 games this season and are 19-14 in those matchups.
  • Colorado has gone 14-16 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 41 of the 91 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 64 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 41-23.
  • In 23 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 16-7

Padres vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-292)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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