Braxton Garrett aims for his 10th victory of the season when his Miami Marlins (78-73) host the New York Mets (70-80) on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET.
The Mets (+135 underdog on the moneyline) are away versus the Marlins (-162). The total for this game is set at 8.5.
The betting facts in this article are based off odds valid as of September 19, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -162 | +135 | 8.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been favorites in 68 games this season and won 40 (58.8%) of those contests.
- This season Miami has won 18 of its 24 games, or 75%, when favored by at least -162 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 61.8% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- Miami’s games have gone over the total in 70 of its 151 chances.
- The Marlins are 69-82-0 against the spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.71 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been underdogs in 61 games this season and have come away with the win 20 times (32.8%) in those contests.
- This year, New York has won two of 14 games when listed as at least +135 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 42.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 62 of its 151 opportunities.
- The Mets are 68-83-0 against the spread in their 151 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 2.83 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Garrett
- Garrett’s team is 14-13-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw six scoreless innings against the Milwaukee Brewers while allowing four hits.
- In 27 starts this season, Garrett has lasted five or more innings 22 times, with an average of 5.1 innings per appearance.
- He has made 29 appearances and finished six of them without allowing an earned run.
- Garrett’s team is 11-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Garrett’s team has won 19 of his 27 starts.
- Out of Garrett’s 27 starts with a total this season, 13 have hit the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 64 | 72.2 | 96 | 2.23 | 24 | 9 |
| David Robertson | 57 | 60.2 | 70 | 3.26 | 8 | 19 |
| Andrew Nardi | 54 | 51.2 | 66 | 2.79 | 16 | 2 |
| Steven Okert | 53 | 54.1 | 66 | 4.14 | 12 | 0 |
| A.J. Puk | 53 | 51.1 | 71 | 4.21 | 1 | 15 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Joey Lucchesi
- Lucchesi makes the start for the Mets, his eighth of the season. He is 3-0 with a 2.83 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 35 2/3 innings pitched.
- The left-hander’s most recent appearance was on Wednesday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he tossed seven innings, surrendering no earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Lucchesi will aim to pitch five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.0 innings per outing.
- He will attempt for his third straight appearance without giving up an earned run.
- The Mets have played while the underdog on the moneyline for three of Lucchesi’s starts this season, and they won every time.
- Lucchesi’s team has a 4-3 record in his starts this season.
- Lucchesi has had eight starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in five of those games.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 63 | 59.2 | 59 | 2.87 | 12 | 11 |
| Brooks Raley | 61 | 51.1 | 56 | 2.81 | 24 | 3 |
| Drew Smith | 58 | 52.1 | 57 | 4.47 | 12 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 58 | 54.1 | 59 | 4.31 | 10 | 1 |
| Phil Bickford | 57 | 64 | 70 | 5.20 | 4 | 1 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins are 26-22 this season in games when they send out two or more long balls.
- Miami has collected at least five extra-base hits in 30 games this season, and has gone 27-3 in those outings.
- The club has strung together at least eight hits in 109 games this season, and is 64-45 in those contests.
- Miami is 55-14 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Marlins are 22-12 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They have won 32 of the 53 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- New York has won 21 of its 27 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 82 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 56-26.
- New York has won 52 of its 71 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 18-15 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Marlins vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-162)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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