The Cincinnati Reds (79-73) will look to Christian Encarnacion-Strand, on a two-game homer streak, against the Minnesota Twins (79-72) at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday, at Great American Ball Park.
The Reds are an underdog at home (+110) versus the Twins (-131). The contest has an over/under of 9.5.
The betting trends in this article reference odds valid as of September 19, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Reds Betting Lines
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Twins | -131 | +110 | 9.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have won 60 out of the 101 games, or 59.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Minnesota has won 42 of its 74 games, or 56.8%, when favored by at least -131 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 56.7%.
- Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 75 of 151 opportunities.
- The Twins are 74-77-0 against the spread in their 151 chances this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 5-5 |
Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
HR | 15 |
ERA | 3.78 |
K/9 | 10.3 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have won in 57, or 49.6%, of the 115 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Cincinnati has won 39 of 83 games when listed as at least +110 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 47.6% chance of pulling out a win.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 74 of its 152 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 152 games with a line this season, the Reds have a mark of 89-63-0 against the spread.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 6-4 |
Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
HR | 14 |
ERA | 4.35 |
K/9 | 8.5 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Kenta Maeda
- Maeda’s team is 12-7-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs in seven innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Chicago White Sox.
- Maeda has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has made 19 appearances and finished one of them without allowing an earned run.
- Maeda’s team has won 72.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (8-3).
- Maeda’s team has won nine of his 19 starts.
- Out of Maeda’s 19 starts with a total this season, 12 have hit the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Griffin Jax | 66 | 62 | 63 | 3.92 | 23 | 2 |
Emilio Pagán | 59 | 64.1 | 57 | 3.22 | 8 | 0 |
Dylan Floro | 56 | 54.1 | 56 | 4.97 | 9 | 7 |
Jhoan Duran | 55 | 58.1 | 78 | 2.47 | 1 | 26 |
Caleb Thielbar | 31 | 27.1 | 30 | 1.98 | 14 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Fernando Cruz
- The Reds will look to Cruz (1-1) to open the game and make his second start of the season.
- In his most recent time out — in relief on Saturday — the righty threw two scoreless innings against the New York Mets without surrendering a hit.
- He is looking to keep a streak of four games without giving up an earned run alive.
- The Reds were named the moneyline underdog for one Cruz start this season — they won.
- His team has won the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Cruz’s lone start with a total this season went over.
Reds Relief Pitchers
Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ian Gibaut | 66 | 70.1 | 66 | 3.07 | 22 | 2 |
Alexis Diaz | 64 | 64.1 | 84 | 2.10 | 1 | 37 |
Buck Farmer | 64 | 71 | 65 | 3.93 | 10 | 3 |
Sam Moll | 63 | 57.2 | 64 | 3.28 | 9 | 1 |
Lucas Sims | 60 | 56 | 69 | 3.38 | 22 | 3 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins are 56-19 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Minnesota is 42-9 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 66-22 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
- Minnesota is 71-14 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Twins have drawn five or more walks in 50 games this season, and are 32-18 in those contests.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 36-15 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Cincinnati has gone 30-9 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 70 of the 99 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Cincinnati has a 71-14 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 24 of their 45 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Twins vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (+110)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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