Ronald Acuna Jr. is just two RBI away from his 100th of the campaign as his Atlanta Braves (96-54) prep for the Philadelphia Phillies (82-68) on Tuesday at 7:20 PM ET.
The Phillies are an underdog away (+184) at the Braves (-227). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The betting facts in this article use the latest odds as of September 19, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Phillies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -227 | +184 | 8.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have been favored 136 times and won 88, or 64.7%, of those games.
- Atlanta has entered 35 games this season favored by -227 or more and is 25-10 in those contests.
- The Braves have a 69.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 83 of 150 games with a total.
- The Braves are 78-72-0 against the spread in their 150 chances this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 7.57 |
| K/9 | 10.8 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have come away with 22 wins in the 47 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Philadelphia has played as an underdog of +184 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 35.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 68 of its 150 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 150 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 69-81-0 against the spread.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- Strider and his team are 17-12-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in seven innings against the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Strider has started 29 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 26 times. He averages 5.8 innings per appearance.
- He has made 29 appearances and finished six of them without allowing an earned run.
- Strider’s team has a record of 23-6 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Strider’s team is 23-6 when he starts this season.
- Games Strider has started this season hit the over 17 times in 29 chances.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 64 | 59.2 | 77 | 3.77 | 19 | 10 |
| Pierce Johnson | 62 | 59 | 85 | 4.73 | 11 | 13 |
| Kirby Yates | 56 | 57.1 | 77 | 3.30 | 8 | 5 |
| Brad Hand | 55 | 49.2 | 54 | 5.07 | 4 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 53 | 51.2 | 67 | 3.31 | 12 | 0 |
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Cristopher Sanchez
- Sanchez gets the start for the Phillies, his 17th of the season. He is 2-4 with a 3.40 ERA and 83 strikeouts in 87 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Wednesday, the lefty went 7 1/3 innings against the Atlanta Braves, allowing four earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
- Sanchez will try to build on a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.4 innings per appearance).
- In three of his 16 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Phillies are 1-3 in Sanchez’s four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Sanchez’s team has compiled a 7-9 record in his 16 starts.
- Sanchez has started 16 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in six of them.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 65 | 63 | 84 | 3.29 | 6 | 23 |
| Gregory Soto | 63 | 56 | 56 | 4.82 | 21 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 53 | 46 | 44 | 4.11 | 13 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 47 | 49 | 66 | 2.20 | 8 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 43 | 83.1 | 105 | 3.24 | 9 | 1 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have put up two or more round-trippers in 83 games this season, and are 61-22 in those outings.
- Atlanta is 35-6 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has put up at least eight hits in 105 games this season, and is 73-32 in those contests.
- Atlanta is 76-21 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Braves have drawn at least five walks in 40 games this season, and are 28-12 in those contests.
Phillies Hitting Trends
- They are 41-16 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Philadelphia has gone 33-10 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 100 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 64-36.
- Philadelphia has won 61 of its 78 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 37-20 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Braves vs. Phillies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-227)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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