Rangers vs. Red Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 19, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 19, 2023

Rafael Devers has 98 RBI, and will try to get his 100th when the Boston Red Sox (75-76) meet the Texas Rangers (82-68) at 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Rangers are favored (-145 moneyline odds to win) when they take on the Red Sox (+120). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.

The betting facts in this article use the latest odds as of September 19, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rangers vs Red Sox Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rangers -145 +120 8.5

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have entered the game as favorites 102 times this season and won 58, or 56.9%, of those games.
  • This season Texas has won 36 of its 61 games, or 59%, when favored by at least -145 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Rangers, based on the moneyline, is 59.2%.
  • Texas’ games have gone over the total in 79 of its 150 chances.
  • In 150 games with a spread this season, the Rangers are 79-71-0 ATS.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 13
ERA 4.24
K/9 8.5

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have been victorious in 36, or 46.2%, of the 78 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Boston has a mark of 21-14 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +120 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 79 of its 151 opportunities.
  • The Red Sox have an against the spread record of 74-77-0 in 151 games with a line this season.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 9
ERA 3.86
K/9 11.1

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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Nathan Eovaldi

  • Eovaldi’s team is 13-9-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed three hits in 3 1/3 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays.
  • Eovaldi has started 22 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 19 times. He averages 5.9 innings per appearance.
  • He has eight appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 22 chances this season.
  • Eovaldi’s team has been victorious in 64.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 9-5.
  • Eovaldi’s team has a 13-9 record in his starts this season.
  • Out of Eovaldi’s 22 starts with a total this season, 12 have hit the over.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Chris Stratton 59 80.2 79 3.68 8 1
Will Smith 56 54.1 52 4.47 8 22
Aroldis Chapman 54 54 97 2.83 13 5
Brock Burke 50 58.2 50 4.30 11 0
José Leclerc 50 50.1 57 3.04 6 2

Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Tanner Houck

  • Houck (5-9) gets the starting nod for the Red Sox in his 19th start of the season. He has a 4.94 ERA in 93 2/3 innings pitched, with 87 strikeouts.
  • The righty’s most recent appearance was on Thursday against the New York Yankees, when he went six scoreless innings while allowing four hits.
  • Houck will aim to pitch five or more innings for his fourth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
  • He has had one outing this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Red Sox have a 2-10 record in Houck’s 12 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Houck’s team is 8-10 in his 18 starts.
  • Houck’s starts went over the run total 10 times in 18 games with a set total this season.

Red Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Josh Winckowski 54 78 74 2.88 19 3
Chris Martin 54 50.1 46 1.07 23 2
Brennan Bernardino 42 46.1 54 3.50 4 0
John Schreiber 39 42 47 3.86 10 1
Mauricio Llovera 25 30 26 4.20 0 0

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • The Rangers have racked up at least two round-trippers in 70 games this season, and are 50-20 in those contests.
  • Texas has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 49 games this season, and has gone 35-14 in those contests.
  • The team has notched at least eight hits 116 times this season, and has a 76-40 record in those games.
  • Texas has a 71-24 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Rangers have drawn five or more walks in 52 games this season, and are 33-19 in those contests.

Red Sox Hitting Trends

  • They have won 33 of the 47 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Boston has won 30 of its 42 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 62-42 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 77 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 62-15.
  • In 31 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-14

Rangers vs. Red Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-145)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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