Guardians vs. Royals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 19, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 19, 2023

The Cleveland Guardians (72-79) visit the Kansas City Royals (49-102) at 7:40 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Guardians are favored (-162 on the moneyline) when they square off against the Royals (+136). The game’s over/under is set at 9.5.

The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of September 19, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Guardians vs Royals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Guardians -162 +136 9.5

Guardians Betting Insights

  • This season, the Guardians have been favored 71 times and won 37, or 52.1%, of those games.
  • Cleveland is 12-10 this season when entering a game favored by -162 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 61.8%.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 63 of 150 opportunities.
  • The Guardians are 78-72-0 against the spread in their 150 chances this season.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 10
ERA 3.21
K/9 8.6

Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 130 games this year and have walked away with the win 42 times (32.3%) in those games.
  • This year, Kansas City has won 24 of 85 games when listed as at least +136 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 42.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with Kansas City has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 72 of 151 chances this season.
  • The Royals have an against the spread mark of 66-85-0 in 151 games with a line this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 9
ERA 5.44
K/9 7.7

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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Logan Allen

  • When Allen starts, his team is 16-7-0 against the spread this season.
  • The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in five innings pitched against the San Francisco Giants on Wednesday.
  • Allen will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • In 23 appearances this season, he has finished five without allowing an earned run.
  • Allen’s team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-4).
  • Allen’s team has won 14 of his 23 starts.
  • In Allen’s 23 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 10 times.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Emmanuel Clase 69 68.2 61 3.01 0 41
Trevor Stephan 66 64.2 70 3.76 27 2
Enyel De Los Santos 65 60.2 58 3.41 15 0
Reynaldo López 61 62 78 3.48 18 6
Eli Morgan 56 60.1 66 4.03 8 1

Royals Probable Pitcher – Steven Cruz

  • The Royals will look to Cruz (0-0) to open the game and make his second start of the season.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Wednesday against the Chicago White Sox, when he tossed two scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
  • He will try for his sixth straight outing without surrendering an earned run.
  • The Royals were the underdog on the moneyline for one Cruz start this season — they won.
  • His team has won the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Cruz’s lone start with a total this season went under.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Carlos Hernandez 55 66.1 75 5.02 13 4
Taylor Clarke 51 55 62 5.56 11 2
Tucker Davidson 33 49 45 6.06 0 2
Amir Garrett 25 24.1 28 3.33 0 0
Jackson Kowar 20 25.2 28 4.91 0 0

Guardians Hitting Trends

  • The Guardians have hit two or more dingers in 29 games this season, and are 21-8 in those contests.
  • Cleveland has gone 20-6 in its 26 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has strung together at least eight hits 93 times this season, and has a 49-44 record in those games.
  • Cleveland has a 42-14 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Guardians have drawn five or more walks in 37 games this season, and are 20-17 in those contests.

Royals Hitting Trends

  • They have won 20 of the 38 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Kansas City has gone 17-17 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 84 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 37-47.
  • In 51 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 34-17.
  • They have a 7-13 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Guardians vs. Royals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Guardians (-162)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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