The New York Yankees (76-74) and Toronto Blue Jays (83-67) square off in the first of a three-game series on Tuesday at Yankee Stadium, at 7:05 PM ET. The Yankees are coming off a series victory over the Pirates, and the Blue Jays a series win over the Red Sox.
The Yankees (-115 moneyline odds to win) play the Blue Jays (-105) in a projected tight contest. The total for this game is 8.
The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of September 19, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Blue Jays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -115 | -105 | 8 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- This season, the Yankees have won 50 out of the 92 games, or 54.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
- New York has a record of 45-35 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -115 on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 53.5% chance to win.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 67 of 150 opportunities.
- In 150 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 74-76-0 ATS.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.91 |
| K/9 | 10.4 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in 36 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (55.6%) in those games.
- This year, Toronto has won 16 of 29 games when listed as at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Toronto’s games have gone over the total in 64 of its 150 opportunities.
- In 150 games with a line this season, the Blue Jays have a mark of 68-82-0 against the spread.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Clarke Schmidt
- When Schmidt starts, his team is 14-15-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw 5 1/3 innings against the Boston Red Sox, giving up three earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Schmidt has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished five appearances without allowing an earned run in 30 chances this season.
- Schmidt’s team has a record of 10-10 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Schmidt has started, his team is 13-16.
- In games Schmidt has started this season, the teams are 11-17-1 at hitting the over.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 61 | 54 | 51 | 2.83 | 18 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 60 | 59 | 67 | 2.59 | 5 | 21 |
| Tommy Kahnle | 41 | 40 | 48 | 2.48 | 14 | 2 |
| Michael King | 39 | 87.2 | 108 | 2.77 | 8 | 6 |
| Ian Hamilton | 32 | 53.1 | 65 | 2.19 | 4 | 2 |
Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Yusei Kikuchi
- The Blue Jays are sending Kikuchi (9-6) to make his 30th start of the season as he goes for his 10th win. He is 9-6 with a 3.81 ERA and 163 strikeouts over 153 2/3 innings pitched.
- The left-hander last appeared on Wednesday against the Texas Rangers, when he tossed five innings, allowing six earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Kikuchi will aim to go five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.3 frames per outing.
- He has had four appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Blue Jays have been the moneyline underdog in 10 of Kikuchi’s starts this season, and they went 7-3 in those matchups.
- In Kikuchi’s 29 starts, his team is 18-11.
- Kikuchi has started 29 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 13 of them.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Mayza | 66 | 50.2 | 49 | 1.24 | 22 | 1 |
| Yimi Garcia | 66 | 60.2 | 73 | 4.15 | 16 | 3 |
| Erik Swanson | 63 | 61.2 | 70 | 3.06 | 28 | 4 |
| Jordan Hicks | 59 | 59.2 | 74 | 3.32 | 10 | 12 |
| Génesis Cabrera | 55 | 53 | 55 | 4.58 | 11 | 0 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees have put up two or more round-trippers in 77 games this season, and are 58-19 in those contests.
- New York has collected at least five extra-base hits in 23 games this season, and has gone 19-4 in those outings.
- The team has collected at least eight hits in 87 games this season, and is 59-28 in those contests.
- New York is 55-16 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Yankees are 30-20 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- They have won 31 of the 45 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Toronto has won 23 of its 31 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 107 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 72-35.
- Toronto has won 59 of its 74 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 30 of their 43 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-115)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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