Padres vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 18, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 18, 2023

The San Diego Padres (72-78) and Colorado Rockies (56-93) battle in NL West play, on Monday at 9:40 PM ET.

The Padres are heavily favored at home (-285) against the Rockies (+231). The over/under for the game is set at 8 total runs.

The betting facts in what follows reflect odds as of September 18, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Padres -285 +231 8

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have won 60, or 53.6%, of the 112 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • San Diego has played as favorites of -285 or more once this season and won that game.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 74% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 64 of 150 opportunities.
  • The Padres are 73-77-0 ATS in their 150 games with a spread this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.1
HR 16
ERA 5.07
K/9 9.5

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have won in 51, or 38.1%, of the 134 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Colorado has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +231 or worse on the moneyline this season.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 30.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Colorado has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 68 of 149 chances this season.
  • In 149 games with a line this season, the Rockies have a mark of 74-75-0 against the spread.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 9
ERA 5.69
K/9 7

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Michael Wacha

  • Wacha and his team have a record of 14-7-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw four innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, giving up seven earned runs while allowing seven hits.
  • Wacha has 16 starts of five or more innings this season in 21 chances. He averages 5.5 innings per outing.
  • He has finished seven appearances without allowing an earned run in 21 chances this season.
  • Wacha’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 10-5.
  • Wacha’s team has won 13 of his 21 starts.
  • Games started by Wacha have a 10-10-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Luís Garcia 55 56.1 50 3.83 9 0
Scott Barlow 54 60.2 70 4.6 5 13
Nick Martínez 53 101.1 95 3.73 15 1
Josh Hader 53 49.2 79 1.27 0 29
Tom Cosgrove 44 46 41 1.57 4 0

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Ty Blach

  • Blach makes the start for the Rockies, his 11th of the season. He is 3-1 with a 4.64 ERA and 38 strikeouts over 64 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The lefty’s last appearance came on Wednesday against the Chicago Cubs, when he threw five innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing nine hits.
  • Blach will look to prolong a five-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 3.8 frames per appearance).
  • He has had four appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Rockies have been the underdog on the moneyline in nine of Blach’s starts this season, and they went 3-6 in those matchups.
  • Blach’s team is 4-6 in his 10 starts.
  • Blach has started 10 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in four of them.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Justin Lawrence 61 68.1 69 3.95 10 11
Jake Bird 60 84 73 4.39 12 0
Brent Suter 50 64.2 49 3.76 6 0
Matt Koch 35 33.2 20 4.81 6 0
Gavin Hollowell 20 26.2 25 5.4 3 1

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres have a 38-27 record in games this season when they smash at least two homers.
  • San Diego has had five or more extra-base hits in 33 games this season, and has gone 25-8 in those outings.
  • The club has racked up eight or more hits 82 times this season, and has a 56-26 record in those games.
  • San Diego is 59-13 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Padres are 32-27 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 33 games this season and are 19-14 in those matchups.
  • Colorado has gone 14-16 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 41-49 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 63 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 41-22.
  • In 23 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 16-7

Padres vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-285)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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