The Cincinnati Reds (78-73) will look for another strong showing from a batter on a roll versus the Minnesota Twins (79-71) on Monday at 6:40 PM ET, at Great American Ball Park. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is riding a two-game homer streak.
The Twins are a favorite (-155) at the Reds (+130). The total for this game is set at 9.5.
The betting facts in the article below reference odds valid as of September 18, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -155 | +130 | 9.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have been favored 100 times and won 60, or 60%, of those games.
- This season Minnesota has won 28 of its 50 games, or 56%, when favored by at least -155 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 60.8% chance to win.
- Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 74 of 150 opportunities.
- The Twins are 74-76-0 against the spread in their 150 chances this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.24 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been victorious in 56, or 49.1%, of the 114 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 24 times in 50 chances when named as an underdog of at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 43.5% chance of pulling out a win.
- Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 73 of its 151 opportunities.
- The Reds have an against the spread record of 88-63-0 in 151 games with a line this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.85 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Joe Ryan
- Ryan’s team is 12-14-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
- Ryan has made 19 starts of five or more innings in 26 chances this season, and averages 5.6 frames when he pitches.
- In 26 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
- Ryan’s team has been victorious in 55% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 11-9.
- In games Ryan has started, his team is 14-12.
- Out of Ryan’s 26 starts with a total this season, 16 have hit the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 66 | 62 | 63 | 3.92 | 23 | 2 |
| Emilio Pagán | 59 | 64.1 | 57 | 3.22 | 8 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 56 | 54.1 | 56 | 4.97 | 9 | 7 |
| Jhoan Duran | 55 | 58.1 | 78 | 2.47 | 1 | 26 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 31 | 27.1 | 30 | 1.98 | 14 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Connor Phillips
- The Reds are sending Phillips (0-0) to make his third start of the season.
- In his last time out on Wednesday, the righty threw four innings against the Detroit Tigers, allowing three earned runs while surrendering four hits.
- The Reds were the underdog on the moneyline for two Phillips starts this season — they won both.
- His team has won both of the matchups he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Phillips’ two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 66 | 70.1 | 66 | 3.07 | 22 | 2 |
| Alexis Diaz | 64 | 64.1 | 84 | 2.1 | 1 | 37 |
| Buck Farmer | 64 | 71 | 65 | 3.93 | 10 | 3 |
| Sam Moll | 63 | 57.2 | 64 | 3.28 | 9 | 1 |
| Lucas Sims | 60 | 56 | 69 | 3.38 | 22 | 3 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have hit at least two home runs in 74 games this season, and are 56-18 in those contests.
- Minnesota has collected five or more extra-base hits in 51 games this season, and has gone 42-9 in those contests.
- The club has racked up at least eight hits in 88 games this season, and is 66-22 in those contests.
- Minnesota is 71-14 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Twins are 32-18 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 36-15 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 39 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 30-9.
- They have a record of 69-29 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Cincinnati has a 70-14 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 23-21 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Twins vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (+130)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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