The Milwaukee Brewers (84-65) and St. Louis Cardinals (66-83) clash in the first of a four-game series on Monday at Busch Stadium, at 7:45 PM ET. The Brewers are coming off a series victory over the Nationals, and the Cardinals a series loss to the Phillies.
The Brewers are the road favorite (-186) versus the Cardinals (+153). The game’s over/under is 8.5.
The betting trends in the article below are based off odds valid as of September 18, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -186 | +153 | 8.5 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been favorites in 78 games this season and won 45 (57.7%) of those contests.
- Milwaukee is 7-8 this season when entering a game favored by -186 or more on the moneyline.
- The Brewers have a 65% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 67 of its 149 chances.
- The Brewers have an ATS record of 76-73-0 in 149 games with a spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 1.71 |
| K/9 | 9 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have come away with 32 wins in the 72 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, St. Louis has won four of nine games when listed as at least +153 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 39.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- St. Louis and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 72 of its 148 opportunities.
- The Cardinals are 69-79-0 against the spread in their 148 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 5.28 |
| K/9 | 7.2 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Freddy Peralta
- Peralta and his team have a record of 15-13-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 6 1/3 innings against the Miami Marlins, giving up one earned run while allowing two hits.
- Peralta has pitched five or more innings in 18 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 28 appearances this season, he has finished four without allowing an earned run.
- Peralta’s team has a record of 13-7 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Peralta’s team has won 17 of his 28 starts.
- Out of Peralta’s 28 starts with a total this season, 16 have hit the over.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 68 | 61 | 56 | 2.07 | 16 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 62 | 66 | 73 | 2.45 | 25 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 58 | 56.2 | 84 | 1.59 | 0 | 35 |
| Elvis Peguero | 58 | 61.1 | 54 | 3.38 | 21 | 1 |
| Andrew Chafin | 54 | 46 | 60 | 5.28 | 12 | 8 |
Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Adam Wainwright
- Wainwright (4-11 with a 7.95 ERA and 52 strikeouts in 94 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Cardinals, his 21st of the season.
- The righty’s last time out came on Tuesday against the Baltimore Orioles, when he went five innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Wainwright will look to extend a four-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.7 innings per outing).
- He has not had an appearance so far in 2023 where he did not surrender at least one earned run.
- The Cardinals are 5-8 in Wainwright’s 13 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Wainwright’s team has put together a 6-14 record over his 20 starts.
- Wainwright has started 20 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 10 of them.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante | 56 | 63 | 42 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
| Giovanny Gallegos | 55 | 55 | 59 | 4.42 | 20 | 10 |
| Drew VerHagen | 54 | 56 | 55 | 4.02 | 12 | 0 |
| John King | 30 | 33.2 | 18 | 4.01 | 9 | 0 |
| Ryan Helsley | 28 | 32 | 43 | 2.53 | 2 | 11 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers are 43-10 this season in games when they crush two or more home runs.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in its 19 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together at least eight hits 76 times this season, and has a 57-19 record in those games.
- Milwaukee has a 69-10 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Brewers are 39-13 in the 52 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- They are 44-23 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- St. Louis has won 34 of its 41 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 101 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 64-37.
- In 74 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 58-16.
- In 48 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 20-28
Brewers vs. Cardinals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-186)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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