Ronald Acuna Jr. will try to notch his 100th RBI of the year (he has 98) when his Atlanta Braves (96-53) take on the Philadelphia Phillies (81-68) at 7:20 PM ET on Monday.
The Braves (-112 moneyline odds to win) and the Phillies (-107) will play in an expected close matchup. The matchup has an over/under set at 9.5 total runs.
The insights in the article below use the latest odds as of September 18, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Phillies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -112 | -107 | 9.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have won 88, or 65.2%, of the 135 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Atlanta has a record of 88-46 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -112 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 52.8%.
- Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 83 of its 149 chances.
- The Braves are 78-71-0 against the spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 7.06 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been victorious in 21, or 45.7%, of the 46 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Philadelphia has won 19 of 43 games when listed as at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 51.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over in 68 of its 149 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Phillies have posted a record of 68-81-0 against the spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Kyle Wright
- Wright’s team is 1-5-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up six earned runs in three innings pitched on Monday, Sept. 11 in his last outing, a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Wright has made two starts of five or more innings in six chances this season, and averages 3.5 frames when he pitches.
- He has finished one appearance without allowing an earned run in six chances this season.
- Wright’s team is 3-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Wright’s team has a 3-3 record in his starts this season.
- In Wright’s six starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 64 | 59.2 | 77 | 3.77 | 19 | 10 |
| Pierce Johnson | 62 | 59 | 85 | 4.73 | 11 | 13 |
| Kirby Yates | 56 | 57.1 | 77 | 3.3 | 8 | 5 |
| Brad Hand | 55 | 49.2 | 54 | 5.07 | 4 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 53 | 51.2 | 67 | 3.31 | 12 | 0 |
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler
- The Phillies will send Wheeler (11-6) out for his 30th start of the season. He is 11-6 with a 3.65 ERA and 196 strikeouts in 175 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Tuesday against the Atlanta Braves, the righty went five innings, allowing six earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Wheeler is trying for his 18th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages six frames per start.
- In five of his appearances this season he did not allow an earned run.
- The Phillies have a 2-1 record in Wheeler’s three starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Wheeler’s team has a 17-12 record in his starts this season.
- Wheeler’s starts went over the run total 13 times in 29 games with a set total this season.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 65 | 63 | 84 | 3.29 | 6 | 23 |
| Gregory Soto | 62 | 55 | 54 | 4.91 | 21 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 53 | 46 | 44 | 4.11 | 13 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 47 | 49 | 66 | 2.2 | 8 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 42 | 82.1 | 104 | 3.28 | 9 | 1 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have a 61-22 record this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Atlanta has had five or more extra-base hits in 41 games this season, and has gone 35-6 in those contests.
- The team is 73-32 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
- Atlanta is 76-21 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Braves have gone 28-12 in the 40 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Phillies Hitting Trends
- They have won 40 of the 56 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Philadelphia has won 32 of its 42 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 64 of the 100 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Philadelphia has a 60-17 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 36-20 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Braves vs. Phillies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-112)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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