Guardians vs. Royals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 18, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The Cleveland Guardians (72-78) ride a three-game winning streak into a road contest versus the Kansas City Royals (48-102) at 2:10 PM ET on Monday.

The Guardians are favored (-130 on the moneyline to win) when they visit the Royals (+109). The total in the game is 9.5 total runs.

The betting trends in the following article are based off odds valid as of September 18, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Guardians vs Royals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Guardians -130 +109 9.5

Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 70 times this season and won 37, or 52.9%, of those games.
  • Cleveland has entered 51 games this season favored by -130 or more and is 25-26 in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 56.5% chance to win.
  • Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 63 of its 149 chances.
  • In 149 games with a spread this season, the Guardians are 78-71-0 ATS.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 9
ERA 3.00
K/9 8.9

Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have won in 41, or 31.8%, of the 129 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Kansas City has come away with a win 38 times in 120 chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Contests with Kansas City has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 72 of 150 chances this season.
  • The Royals have an against the spread record of 65-85-0 in 150 games with a line this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 10
ERA 5.65
K/9 7.4

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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Cal Quantrill

  • Quantrill’s team is 6-10-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in six innings against the San Francisco Giants.
  • Quantrill has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 16 chances this season.
  • Quantrill’s team has a record of 2-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Quantrill’s team is 8-8 when he starts this season.
  • In Quantrill’s 16 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Emmanuel Clase 69 68.2 61 3.01 0 41
Trevor Stephan 65 64 70 3.38 26 2
Enyel De Los Santos 64 60.1 57 3.43 15 0
Reynaldo López 60 61.2 77 3.50 17 6
Eli Morgan 56 60.1 66 4.03 8 1

Royals Probable Pitcher – Brady Singer

  • Singer (8-11 with a 5.51 ERA and 129 strikeouts in 153 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Royals, his 29th of the season.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Tuesday against the Chicago White Sox, when he threw 5 1/3 innings, allowing six earned runs while giving up nine hits.
  • Singer will try to continue a three-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.5 innings per appearance).
  • He has made three appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
  • The Royals have a 9-11 record in Singer’s 20 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Singer’s team has a 13-15 record in his starts this season.
  • Singer’s starts hit the over on the run total 18 times in 28 games with a set total this season.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Carlos Hernandez 55 66.1 75 5.02 13 4
Taylor Clarke 51 55 62 5.56 11 2
Tucker Davidson 32 48 45 6.19 0 2
Amir Garrett 25 24.1 28 3.33 0 0
Jackson Kowar 19 24.2 26 5.11 0 0

Guardians Hitting Trends

  • The Guardians have a 21-8 record this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • Cleveland has gone 20-6 in its 26 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has collected at least eight hits 92 times this season, and has a 49-43 record in those games.
  • Cleveland has a 42-14 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Guardians have drawn five or more walks in 37 games this season, and are 20-17 in those contests.

Royals Hitting Trends

  • They are 20-18 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Kansas City has won 17 of its 34 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 84 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 37-47.
  • Kansas City has won 33 of its 50 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won seven of their 20 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Guardians vs. Royals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Guardians (-130)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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