The New York Mets (69-80) visit the Miami Marlins (78-72) in NL East action, at 6:40 PM ET on Monday.
The Marlins are a home favorite (-161) against the Mets (+135). The over/under for this game is set at 8.5.
The betting trends in the following article reflect odds as of September 18, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -161 | +135 | 8.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- This season, the Marlins have won 40 out of the 67 games, or 59.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Miami has a record of 18-6 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -161 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 61.7% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- Miami’s games have gone over the total in 70 of its 150 chances.
- In 150 games with a spread this season, the Marlins are 69-81-0 ATS.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.71 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 60 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (31.7%) in those games.
- New York has a win-loss record of 2-12 when favored by +135 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 42.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with New York has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 62 of 150 chances this season.
- The Mets are 67-83-0 against the spread in their 150 games that had a posted line this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.27 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Edward Cabrera
- Cabrera and his team are 6-10-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Tuesday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while allowing one hit to the Milwaukee Brewers.
- Cabrera has started 16 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 10 times. He averages 4.5 innings per appearance.
- In 19 appearances this season, he has finished two without allowing an earned run.
- When Cabrera starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-2.
- In games Cabrera has started, his team is 8-8.
- In games Cabrera has started this season, the teams are 6-10-0 at hitting the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 63 | 71.2 | 94 | 2.13 | 24 | 9 |
| David Robertson | 56 | 59.2 | 68 | 3.32 | 8 | 19 |
| Andrew Nardi | 54 | 51.2 | 66 | 2.79 | 16 | 2 |
| Steven Okert | 53 | 54.1 | 66 | 4.14 | 12 | 0 |
| A.J. Puk | 52 | 49.2 | 69 | 4.35 | 1 | 15 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Jose Butto
- The Mets will send Butto (1-2) to the mound for his fifth start of the season. He is 1-2 with a 3.46 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 26 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Tuesday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, the right-hander tossed five innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering two hits.
- Butto will try to last five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.3 frames per outing.
- The Mets have not been the underdog on the moneyline when Butto starts this season.
- Butto’s team is 2-2 in his four starts.
- Butto’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in one of four games.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 62 | 58.2 | 57 | 2.91 | 12 | 10 |
| Brooks Raley | 61 | 51.1 | 56 | 2.81 | 24 | 3 |
| Drew Smith | 58 | 52.1 | 57 | 4.47 | 12 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 58 | 54.1 | 59 | 4.31 | 10 | 1 |
| Phil Bickford | 56 | 63 | 70 | 5.29 | 4 | 1 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have a 26-22 record this season in games when they belt two or more homers.
- Miami has gone 27-3 in its 30 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has collected at least eight hits 109 times this season, and has a 64-45 record in those games.
- Miami has a 55-14 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Marlins are 22-12 over the 34 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 53 games this season and are 32-21 in those matchups.
- New York has won 21 of its 27 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 81 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 55-26.
- New York has won 52 of its 71 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 18-15 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Marlins vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-161)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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