Rangers vs. Red Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 18, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The Boston Red Sox (74-76) will look to snap a four-game losing streak when visiting the Texas Rangers (82-67) at 8:05 PM ET on Monday.

The Red Sox are an underdog (+154 on the moneyline to win) when they visit the Rangers (-186). The total for the game is 8.5 total runs.

The betting trends in this article reflect odds as of September 18, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rangers vs Red Sox Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rangers -186 +154 8.5

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have been favorites in 101 games this season and won 58 (57.4%) of those contests.
  • Texas has a record of 20-8, a 71.4% win rate, when favored by -186 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Rangers, based on the moneyline, is 65%.
  • Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 79 of its 149 games with a total this season.
  • The Rangers have an ATS record of 79-70-0 in 149 games with a spread this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 13
ERA 4.45
K/9 8.5

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have been underdogs in 77 games this season and have come away with the win 35 times (45.5%) in those contests.
  • Boston has a mark of 2-2 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +154 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 39.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 79 of its 150 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Red Sox have posted a record of 73-77-0 against the spread this season.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 10
ERA 4.75
K/9 10.4

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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jordan Montgomery

  • Montgomery and his team have a record of 11-18-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The left-hander allowed four hits in seven scoreless innings pitched against the Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday.
  • Montgomery has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has finished six appearances without allowing an earned run in 29 chances this season.
  • Montgomery’s team has been victorious in 33.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-16.
  • In games Montgomery has started, his team is 10-19.
  • In Montgomery’s 29 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 14 times.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Chris Stratton 58 79.1 79 3.74 8 1
Will Smith 55 54 51 4 8 22
Aroldis Chapman 54 54 97 2.83 13 5
José Leclerc 50 50.1 57 3.04 6 2
Brock Burke 49 58.1 49 4.32 11 0

Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Kutter Crawford

  • Crawford (6-7) takes the mound first for the Red Sox in his 21st start of the season. He has a 4.26 ERA in 112 2/3 innings pitched, with 114 strikeouts.
  • The right-hander’s most recent appearance came on Tuesday against the New York Yankees, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up three hits.
  • Crawford has pitched five or more innings in a game 10 times this year heading into this game.
  • He has had seven appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
  • The Red Sox are 6-7 in Crawford’s 13 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Crawford’s team has an 8-12 record over his 20 starts.
  • Crawford’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 12 of 20 games.

Red Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Chris Martin 53 49.1 44 1.09 23 1
Josh Winckowski 53 77 71 2.92 19 3
Brennan Bernardino 42 46.1 54 3.5 4 0
John Schreiber 39 42 47 3.86 10 1
Mauricio Llovera 25 30 26 4.2 0 0

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • The Rangers have hit at least two long balls in 70 games this season, and are 50-20 in those contests.
  • Texas is 35-14 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has strung together at least eight hits 116 times this season, and has a 76-40 record in those games.
  • Texas is 71-24 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Rangers have gone 33-19 over the 52 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Red Sox Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 47 games this season and are 33-14 in those matchups.
  • Boston has gone 30-12 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 103 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 61-42.
  • In 77 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 62-15.
  • They have a 17-14 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Rangers vs. Red Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-186)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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