The Cleveland Guardians (71-78) will try to finish off a sweep of a three-game series versus the Texas Rangers (82-66), at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday.
The Rangers are favored away from home (-123) versus the Guardians (+102). The over/under for the game is set at 8 total runs.
The betting facts in this article are based off odds valid as of September 17, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rangers vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | -123 | +102 | 8 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- This season, the Rangers have been favored 100 times and won 58, or 58%, of those games.
- This season Texas has won 50 of its 86 games, or 58.1%, when favored by at least -123 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Rangers.
- Games involving Texas has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 78 of 148 chances this season.
- The Rangers are 79-69-0 ATS in their 148 games with a spread this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.70 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been victorious in 34, or 44.2%, of the 77 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Cleveland has come away with a win 28 times in 63 chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Cleveland has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 62 of 148 chances this season.
- The Guardians are 77-71-0 against the spread in their 148 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.00 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Cody Bradford
- Bradford and his team are 2-4-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance came in relief on Thursday when he threw 2 2/3 scoreless innings out of the bullpen against the Toronto Blue Jays while allowing one hit.
- Bradford has started six games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings four times. He averages 2.8 innings per appearance.
- He is looking for his sixth appearance in a row with no earned runs allowed.
- Bradford’s team has a record of 1-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Bradford’s team has won one of his six starts this season.
- In Bradford’s six starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Stratton | 58 | 79.1 | 79 | 3.74 | 8 | 1 |
| Will Smith | 55 | 54 | 51 | 4.00 | 8 | 22 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 54 | 54 | 97 | 2.83 | 13 | 5 |
| José Leclerc | 50 | 50.1 | 57 | 3.04 | 6 | 2 |
| Brock Burke | 49 | 58.1 | 49 | 4.32 | 11 | 0 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Gavin Williams
- The Guardians are sending Williams (2-5) out for his 16th start of the season. He is 2-5 with a 3.43 ERA and 74 strikeouts through 76 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Tuesday, the right-hander tossed six innings against the San Francisco Giants, allowing three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Williams will look to pitch five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing.
- He has had four appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Guardians are 3-6 in Williams’ nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Williams’ team has won seven of his 15 starts.
- Williams’ starts hit the over on the run total six times in 14 games with a set total this season.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 69 | 68.2 | 61 | 3.01 | 0 | 41 |
| Trevor Stephan | 65 | 64 | 70 | 3.38 | 26 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 64 | 60.1 | 57 | 3.43 | 15 | 0 |
| Reynaldo López | 60 | 61.2 | 77 | 3.50 | 17 | 6 |
| Eli Morgan | 56 | 60.1 | 66 | 4.03 | 8 | 1 |
Rangers Hitting Trends
- The Rangers are 50-20 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
- Texas is 35-14 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has put up at least eight hits in 116 games this season, and is 76-40 in those contests.
- Texas is 71-24 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Rangers are 33-19 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They are 21-8 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Cleveland has won 20 of its 26 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 48 of the 91 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Cleveland has a 41-14 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 20-17 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Rangers vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-123)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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