Rangers vs. Guardians Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The Cleveland Guardians (71-78) will try to finish off a sweep of a three-game series versus the Texas Rangers (82-66), at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday.

The Rangers are favored away from home (-123) versus the Guardians (+102). The over/under for the game is set at 8 total runs.

The betting facts in this article are based off odds valid as of September 17, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rangers vs Guardians Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rangers -123 +102 8

Rangers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Rangers have been favored 100 times and won 58, or 58%, of those games.
  • This season Texas has won 50 of its 86 games, or 58.1%, when favored by at least -123 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Rangers.
  • Games involving Texas has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 78 of 148 chances this season.
  • The Rangers are 79-69-0 ATS in their 148 games with a spread this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 15
ERA 4.70
K/9 8.9

Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have been victorious in 34, or 44.2%, of the 77 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Cleveland has come away with a win 28 times in 63 chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with Cleveland has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 62 of 148 chances this season.
  • The Guardians are 77-71-0 against the spread in their 148 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 8
ERA 3.00
K/9 8.8

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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Cody Bradford

  • Bradford and his team are 2-4-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance came in relief on Thursday when he threw 2 2/3 scoreless innings out of the bullpen against the Toronto Blue Jays while allowing one hit.
  • Bradford has started six games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings four times. He averages 2.8 innings per appearance.
  • He is looking for his sixth appearance in a row with no earned runs allowed.
  • Bradford’s team has a record of 1-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Bradford’s team has won one of his six starts this season.
  • In Bradford’s six starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Chris Stratton 58 79.1 79 3.74 8 1
Will Smith 55 54 51 4.00 8 22
Aroldis Chapman 54 54 97 2.83 13 5
José Leclerc 50 50.1 57 3.04 6 2
Brock Burke 49 58.1 49 4.32 11 0

Guardians Probable Pitcher – Gavin Williams

  • The Guardians are sending Williams (2-5) out for his 16th start of the season. He is 2-5 with a 3.43 ERA and 74 strikeouts through 76 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Tuesday, the right-hander tossed six innings against the San Francisco Giants, allowing three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • Williams will look to pitch five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing.
  • He has had four appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Guardians are 3-6 in Williams’ nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Williams’ team has won seven of his 15 starts.
  • Williams’ starts hit the over on the run total six times in 14 games with a set total this season.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Emmanuel Clase 69 68.2 61 3.01 0 41
Trevor Stephan 65 64 70 3.38 26 2
Enyel De Los Santos 64 60.1 57 3.43 15 0
Reynaldo López 60 61.2 77 3.50 17 6
Eli Morgan 56 60.1 66 4.03 8 1

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • The Rangers are 50-20 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
  • Texas is 35-14 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has put up at least eight hits in 116 games this season, and is 76-40 in those contests.
  • Texas is 71-24 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Rangers are 33-19 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Guardians Hitting Trends

  • They are 21-8 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Cleveland has won 20 of its 26 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 48 of the 91 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Cleveland has a 41-14 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 20-17 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Rangers vs. Guardians Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-123)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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