The New York Yankees (76-73) aim to sweep the Pittsburgh Pirates (69-80) on Sunday at PNC Park, beginning at 1:35 PM ET.
The Yankees are favored (-167 on the moneyline) when they square off against the Pirates (+140). The matchup has an over/under set at 8 total runs.
The insights in the article below reflect odds as of September 17, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -167 | +140 | 8 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- This season, the Yankees have won 50 out of the 91 games, or 54.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
- New York has a record of 20-7, a 74.1% win rate, when favored by -167 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 62.5% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 67 of 149 opportunities.
- In 149 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 74-75-0 ATS.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have come away with 49 wins in the 117 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 20-25 when favored by +140 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 41.7% chance of walking away with the win.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 79 of its 149 opportunities.
- The Pirates are 74-75-0 against the spread in their 149 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.70 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Carlos Rodon
- Rodon’s team is 3-8-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw five innings against the Boston Red Sox, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits.
- Rodon has made six starts of five or more innings in 11 chances this season, and averages 4.6 frames when he pitches.
- He has allowed at least one earned run in every appearance this season.
- Rodon’s team has won 14.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (1-6).
- Rodon’s team has won three of his 11 starts.
- Games started by Rodon have a 4-6-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 61 | 54 | 51 | 2.83 | 18 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 60 | 59 | 67 | 2.59 | 5 | 21 |
| Tommy Kahnle | 41 | 40 | 48 | 2.48 | 14 | 2 |
| Michael King | 39 | 87.2 | 108 | 2.77 | 8 | 6 |
| Ian Hamilton | 32 | 53.1 | 65 | 2.19 | 4 | 2 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Colin Selby
- The Pirates will send Selby (2-1) out to make his fifth start of the season. He is 2-1 with an 8.20 ERA and 27 strikeouts over 18 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out — in relief on Friday — the righty threw one scoreless inning against the New York Yankees without surrendering a hit.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in nine of his 16 outings this season.
- The Pirates are 2-1 in Selby’s three starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Over Selby’s four starts, his team is 3-1.
- Selby has started four games with a total this season — his team has hit the over in all of them.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 59 | 62 | 69 | 1.89 | 0 | 35 |
| Colin Holderman | 55 | 54.1 | 56 | 3.48 | 27 | 2 |
| Jose Hernandez | 43 | 45.2 | 58 | 4.14 | 5 | 0 |
| Ryan Borucki | 29 | 34.2 | 30 | 2.86 | 6 | 0 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | 27 | 30 | 28 | 2.10 | 7 | 0 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees have a 58-19 record in games this season when they hit at least two homers.
- New York has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 23 games this season, and has gone 19-4 in those contests.
- The team is 59-28 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
- New York is 55-16 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Yankees have drawn at least five walks in 50 games this season, and are 30-20 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 37 games this season and are 28-9 in those matchups.
- Pittsburgh has gone 23-6 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 72 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 49-23.
- Pittsburgh has won 44 of its 56 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 21 of their 42 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+140)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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