Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The New York Yankees (76-73) aim to sweep the Pittsburgh Pirates (69-80) on Sunday at PNC Park, beginning at 1:35 PM ET.

The Yankees are favored (-167 on the moneyline) when they square off against the Pirates (+140). The matchup has an over/under set at 8 total runs.

The insights in the article below reflect odds as of September 17, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Yankees vs Pirates Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Yankees -167 +140 8

Yankees Betting Insights

  • This season, the Yankees have won 50 out of the 91 games, or 54.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • New York has a record of 20-7, a 74.1% win rate, when favored by -167 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 62.5% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 67 of 149 opportunities.
  • In 149 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 74-75-0 ATS.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 7
ERA 4.55
K/9 10.6

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have come away with 49 wins in the 117 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 20-25 when favored by +140 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 41.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 79 of its 149 opportunities.
  • The Pirates are 74-75-0 against the spread in their 149 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 9
ERA 4.70
K/9 7.7

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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Carlos Rodon

  • Rodon’s team is 3-8-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw five innings against the Boston Red Sox, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits.
  • Rodon has made six starts of five or more innings in 11 chances this season, and averages 4.6 frames when he pitches.
  • He has allowed at least one earned run in every appearance this season.
  • Rodon’s team has won 14.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (1-6).
  • Rodon’s team has won three of his 11 starts.
  • Games started by Rodon have a 4-6-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 61 54 51 2.83 18 4
Clay Holmes 60 59 67 2.59 5 21
Tommy Kahnle 41 40 48 2.48 14 2
Michael King 39 87.2 108 2.77 8 6
Ian Hamilton 32 53.1 65 2.19 4 2

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Colin Selby

  • The Pirates will send Selby (2-1) out to make his fifth start of the season. He is 2-1 with an 8.20 ERA and 27 strikeouts over 18 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out — in relief on Friday — the righty threw one scoreless inning against the New York Yankees without surrendering a hit.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in nine of his 16 outings this season.
  • The Pirates are 2-1 in Selby’s three starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Over Selby’s four starts, his team is 3-1.
  • Selby has started four games with a total this season — his team has hit the over in all of them.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
David Bednar 59 62 69 1.89 0 35
Colin Holderman 55 54.1 56 3.48 27 2
Jose Hernandez 43 45.2 58 4.14 5 0
Ryan Borucki 29 34.2 30 2.86 6 0
Carmen Mlodzinski 27 30 28 2.10 7 0

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • The Yankees have a 58-19 record in games this season when they hit at least two homers.
  • New York has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 23 games this season, and has gone 19-4 in those contests.
  • The team is 59-28 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
  • New York is 55-16 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Yankees have drawn at least five walks in 50 games this season, and are 30-20 in those contests.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 37 games this season and are 28-9 in those matchups.
  • Pittsburgh has gone 23-6 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 72 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 49-23.
  • Pittsburgh has won 44 of its 56 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won 21 of their 42 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+140)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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