Mariners vs. Dodgers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The Los Angeles Dodgers (90-57) will try to sweep a three-game series versus the Seattle Mariners (81-67), at 4:10 PM ET on Sunday.

The Mariners are favored (-169 moneyline odds to win) when they take on the Dodgers (+142). The game’s total is 7.5.

The betting facts in this article are based off odds valid as of September 17, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mariners vs Dodgers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mariners -169 +142 7.5

Mariners Betting Insights

  • This season, the Mariners have been favored 102 times and won 59, or 57.8%, of those games.
  • Seattle has a record of 25-11, a 69.4% win rate, when favored by -169 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 62.8% chance to win.
  • Games involving Seattle has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 75 of 148 chances this season.
  • In 148 games with a spread this season, the Mariners are 69-79-0 ATS.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 11
ERA 3.86
K/9 10.8

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have come away with 11 wins in the 23 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Los Angeles has played as an underdog of +142 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 41.3% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have gone over in 84 of its 146 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Dodgers are 81-65-0 against the spread in their 146 games that had a posted line this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.7
HR 15
ERA 4.30
K/9 8.6

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Logan Gilbert

  • Gilbert’s team is 15-14-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw seven innings against the Los Angeles Angels, giving up three earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • Gilbert has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • He has made 29 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Gilbert’s team has won 47.8% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (11-12).
  • Gilbert’s team has a 17-12 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Gilbert have a 16-12-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Matt Brash 72 64.2 101 3.06 23 4
Justin Topa 67 62.1 55 2.45 23 2
Gabe Speier 63 49 56 4.04 17 1
Andres Munoz 47 44.2 64 2.82 13 13
Dominic Leone 46 48.2 49 4.99 3 1

Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Shelby Miller

  • Miller will take the mound to start for the Dodgers, his first this season.
  • The 32-year-old right-hander pitched in relief in his most recent outing this season, one of 31 appearances so far.
  • Miller did not pitch as a moneyline underdog a season ago.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Brusdar Graterol 60 62.1 45 1.3 18 7
Caleb Ferguson 55 54.1 60 2.82 17 3
Evan Phillips 55 56.2 61 2.38 6 23
Ryan Brasier 52 56 54 3.21 10 2
Alex Vesia 49 44 59 4.7 9 1

Mariners Hitting Trends

  • The Mariners have a 41-15 record in games this season when they smash at least two home runs.
  • Seattle has gone 26-3 in its 29 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has put up at least eight hits 92 times this season, and has a 63-29 record in those games.
  • Seattle has a 67-11 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Mariners are 33-15 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • They are 54-19 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Los Angeles has won 34 of its 43 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 72 of the 97 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Los Angeles has a 75-20 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 43 of their 63 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Mariners vs. Dodgers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-169)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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