Phillies vs. Cardinals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The Philadelphia Phillies (81-67) hope to sweep the St. Louis Cardinals (65-83) on Sunday at Busch Stadium, beginning at 2:15 PM ET.

The Cardinals are an underdog at home (+115) against the Phillies (-138). The total for the game is 9.5 total runs.

The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of September 17, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Phillies vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Phillies -138 +115 9.5

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been favorites in 100 games this season and won 59 (59%) of those contests.
  • Philadelphia is 39-24 this season when entering a game favored by -138 or more on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 58% chance to win.
  • Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 67 of its 148 chances.
  • The Phillies are 68-80-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 15
ERA 3.91
K/9 9.2

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have been victorious in 31, or 43.7%, of the 71 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, St. Louis has come away with a win 16 times in 36 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 46.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • St. Louis’ games have gone over the total in 71 of its 147 opportunities.
  • The Cardinals are 68-79-0 against the spread in their 147 games that had a posted line this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 10
ERA 5.38
K/9 6.7

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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Taijuan Walker

  • Walker and his team have a record of 17-11-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Monday in his last outing, a matchup with the Atlanta Braves.
  • Walker will look to finish five or more innings for the 17th start in a row.
  • He has made 28 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Walker’s team is 14-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Walker has started, his team is 20-8.
  • Out of Walker’s 28 starts with a total this season, 12 have hit the over.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Craig Kimbrel 65 63 84 3.29 6 23
Gregory Soto 62 55 54 4.91 21 2
Seranthony Domínguez 52 45 44 4.00 13 2
Jeff Hoffman 47 49 66 2.20 8 1
Matt Strahm 42 82.1 104 3.28 9 1

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Dakota Hudson

  • The Cardinals are sending Hudson (6-2) to the mound for his 10th start of the season. He is 6-2 with a 5.10 ERA and 37 strikeouts in 65 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Monday against the Baltimore Orioles, when he tossed 4 1/3 innings, allowing seven earned runs while giving up eight hits.
  • Hudson enters the matchup with seven outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • He has had four appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Cardinals are 4-2 in Hudson’s six starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Hudson’s team has won six of his nine starts.
  • Hudson has had nine starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and six of those games finished over the total.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Andre Pallante 56 63 42 5.00 14 0
Drew VerHagen 54 56 55 4.02 12 0
Giovanny Gallegos 54 54.2 59 4.28 19 10
John King 29 32.2 17 3.86 9 0
Ryan Helsley 27 31 41 2.61 2 10

Phillies Hitting Trends

  • The Phillies have put up two or more round-trippers in 56 games this season, and are 40-16 in those contests.
  • Philadelphia is 32-10 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has collected eight or more hits 99 times this season, and has a 64-35 record in those games.
  • Philadelphia has a 60-16 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Phillies are 36-19 over the 55 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • They have won 43 of the 66 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • St. Louis has won 33 of its 40 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 63-37 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • St. Louis has a 57-16 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 20-28 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Phillies vs. Cardinals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-138)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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