Orioles vs. Rays Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The Tampa Bay Rays (92-58) visit the Baltimore Orioles (92-56) at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday.

Oddsmakers project the Orioles as a small favorite (-117 moneyline odds) against the Rays (-101). The game’s total is set at 9.5.

The insights in the following article use the latest odds as of September 17, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Orioles vs Rays Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Orioles -117 -101 9.5

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have entered the game as favorites 73 times this season and won 49, or 67.1%, of those games.
  • Baltimore has a record of 48-19, a 71.6% win rate, when favored by -117 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.9% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 78 of its 148 games with a total this season.
  • The Orioles are 90-58-0 ATS in their 148 games with a spread this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 6.2
HR 15
ERA 3.94
K/9 7.1

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have come away with 12 wins in the 28 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Tampa Bay has come away with a win five times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least -101 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Rays have an implied victory probability of 50.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over in 80 of its 150 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Rays have posted a record of 84-66-0 against the spread this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 11
ERA 3.48
K/9 10.7

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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Dean Kremer

  • Kremer’s team is 21-8-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander gave up five earned runs in 4 1/3 innings pitched on Monday in his last outing, a matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • Kremer has 22 starts of five or more innings this season in 29 chances. He averages 5.5 innings per outing.
  • He has made 29 appearances and finished four of them without allowing an earned run.
  • When Kremer starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 9-3.
  • Kremer’s team has won 22 of his 29 starts this season.
  • In Kremer’s 29 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 17 times.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yeinier Cano 63 67.1 58 2.00 29 6
Cionel Pérez 57 50 42 3.24 9 1
Michael Baumann 56 62.1 60 3.75 6 0
Jorge López 54 53.2 45 6.04 10 3
Danny Coulombe 53 45.1 53 2.38 22 2

Rays Probable Pitcher – Zack Littell

  • The Rays are sending Littell (3-6) to the mound for his 13th start of the season. He is 3-6 with a 4.25 ERA and 64 strikeouts over 78 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s most recent time out came on Tuesday against the Minnesota Twins, when he went seven innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • Littell will look to pitch five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 3.1 innings per outing.
  • He has had seven appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Rays have been the moneyline underdog in six of Littell’s starts this season, and they went 2-4 in those matchups.
  • Littell’s team has won five of his 12 starts.
  • Littell’s starts hit the over on the run total five times in 12 games with a set total this season.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Colin Poche 59 54.1 53 2.15 20 1
Jake Diekman 58 52 60 3.63 8 0
Robert Stephenson 55 48.1 71 3.17 15 1
Kevin Kelly 51 60.2 49 3.12 11 2
Pete Fairbanks 45 41.1 61 2.18 2 24

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • The Orioles have a 42-14 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
  • Baltimore has gone 34-3 in its 37 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has collected at least eight hits 96 times this season, and has a 69-27 record in those games.
  • Baltimore has a 72-11 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Orioles have drawn five or more walks in 37 games this season, and are 28-9 in those contests.

Rays Hitting Trends

  • They are 49-16 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Tampa Bay has won 35 of its 38 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 69 of the 98 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 89 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 69-20.
  • In 37 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 28-9

Orioles vs. Rays Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-117)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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