The Arizona Diamondbacks (78-72) will attempt to sweep the Chicago Cubs (78-71) at Chase Field on Sunday, at 7:10 PM ET.
The Cubs (-119 moneyline odds to win) and the Diamondbacks (-101) will play in a projected close matchup. The over/under for this game is 9.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of September 17, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -119 | -101 | 9 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- This season, the Cubs have been favored 85 times and won 48, or 56.5%, of those games.
- This season Chicago has won 44 of its 71 games, or 62%, when favored by at least -119 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.3% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 72 of 149 opportunities.
- The Cubs have an ATS record of 71-78-0 in 149 games with a spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.76 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have come away with 38 wins in the 83 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Arizona has come away with a win 31 times in 71 chances when named as an underdog of at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 50.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 66 of its 150 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Diamondbacks have posted a record of 81-69-0 against the spread this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.05 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Jordan Wicks
- Wicks’ team is 3-1-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander gave up one earned run in six innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
- Wicks will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
- Wicks and his team have won each of the four games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- Wicks’ team has yet to lose any of his starts this season.
- Out of Wicks’ four starts with a total this season, one has hit the over.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 63 | 67 | 91 | 3.09 | 16 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 63 | 61.1 | 76 | 3.08 | 28 | 4 |
| Jose Cuas | 60 | 58.1 | 65 | 4.01 | 8 | 0 |
| Daniel Palencia | 21 | 22 | 22 | 4.09 | 1 | 0 |
| Hayden Wesneski | 20 | 83.1 | 75 | 4.54 | 2 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Ryne Nelson
- Nelson (7-8 with a 5.53 ERA and 88 strikeouts in 135 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Diamondbacks, his 27th of the season.
- His last appearance came on Tuesday against the New York Mets, when the righty went 4 1/3 innings, surrendering six earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Nelson will try to pick up his 19th outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per appearance.
- In two of his 26 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Diamondbacks have an 8-10 record in Nelson’s 18 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Nelson’s team has an 11-15 record in his starts this season.
- Nelson has started 26 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 12 of them.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Castro | 66 | 59.1 | 52 | 4.70 | 12 | 7 |
| Paul Sewald | 63 | 58.2 | 76 | 3.22 | 0 | 33 |
| Scott McGough | 60 | 70.1 | 86 | 4.73 | 14 | 9 |
| Kyle Nelson | 60 | 52.2 | 64 | 3.93 | 11 | 0 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 56 | 61.2 | 65 | 2.19 | 8 | 4 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs are 39-21 this season in games when they crush two or more homers.
- Chicago has put up at least five extra-base hits in 30 games this season, and has gone 27-3 in those contests.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits in 97 games this season, and is 69-28 in those contests.
- Chicago has a 62-16 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Cubs have drawn at least five walks in 47 games this season, and are 26-21 in those contests.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They are 32-14 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Arizona has won 21 of its 28 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 70 of the 103 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Arizona has a 63-19 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 24-24 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-101)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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