The Washington Nationals (65-84) hope to stop their five-game losing run against the Milwaukee Brewers (84-64), at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday.
The Brewers are heavily favored (-295 on the moneyline to win) when they take on the Nationals (+241). The contest has a set total of 8.
The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of September 17, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -295 | +241 | 8 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- This season, the Brewers have been favored 77 times and won 45, or 58.4%, of those games.
- Milwaukee has not entered a game this season as bigger favorites on the moneyline than the -295 odds on them winning this game.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 74.7% chance to win.
- Games involving Milwaukee has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 67 of 148 chances this season.
- The Brewers are 76-72-0 against the spread in their 148 chances this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 2.15 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been victorious in 57, or 41.3%, of the 138 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Washington has won one of three games when listed as at least +241 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 29.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Washington’s games have gone over the total in 71 of its 148 opportunities.
- The Nationals have an against the spread mark of 78-70-0 in 148 games with a line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.38 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Brandon Woodruff
- Woodruff and his team are 6-3-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Monday, when he tossed nine innings without allowing a run on six hits in a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
- Woodruff has nine starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He is looking for his third appearance in a row with no earned runs allowed.
- When Woodruff starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-2.
- Woodruff’s team has won seven of his nine starts.
- In games Woodruff has started this season, the teams are 4-5-0 at hitting the over.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 67 | 60 | 56 | 2.10 | 16 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 62 | 66 | 73 | 2.45 | 25 | 3 |
| Elvis Peguero | 58 | 61.1 | 54 | 3.38 | 21 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 57 | 55.2 | 82 | 1.62 | 0 | 35 |
| Andrew Chafin | 53 | 45.1 | 60 | 5.36 | 12 | 8 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Patrick Corbin
- Corbin makes the start for the Nationals, his 30th of the season. He is 10-13 with a 5.18 ERA and 119 strikeouts in 165 2/3 innings pitched.
- The left-hander’s most recent time out was on Monday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Corbin has pitched five or more innings in a game 27 times this year heading into this game.
- In two of his appearances this season he has not allow an earned run.
- The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 27 of Corbin’s starts this season, and they went 13-14 in those matchups.
- Corbin’s team is 14-15 over his 29 starts.
- Corbin’s starts went over the run total 15 times in 29 games with a set total this season.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 61 | 64.1 | 59 | 3.64 | 8 | 25 |
| Hunter Harvey | 52 | 54 | 62 | 3.00 | 17 | 10 |
| Jordan Weems | 46 | 51 | 54 | 3.00 | 7 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 38 | 43.1 | 37 | 4.98 | 4 | 0 |
| Jose Ferrer | 33 | 30.1 | 22 | 3.56 | 5 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have hit two or more homers in 53 games this season, and are 43-10 in those outings.
- Milwaukee has won each of its 19 games this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 57-19 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Milwaukee is 69-10 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Brewers have drawn at least five walks in 51 games this season, and are 39-12 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 38 games this season and are 24-14 in those matchups.
- In 23 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 18-5.
- They have won 53 of the 97 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Washington has won 46 of its 64 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 16-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Brewers vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-295)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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