Broncos vs. Commanders Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Week 2

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 16, 2023

The Denver Broncos (0-1) square off against the Washington Commanders (1-0) at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, September 17, 2023. We have best bets recommendations for you.

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Spread: Commanders (+4) to Cover

  • The data strongly suggests betting on the Commanders in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Broncos favored and the difference between the two is 4.4 points.
  • Washington went 9-8-0 ATS last year.
  • The Commanders covered the spread twice last year (2-2 ATS) when playing as at least 4-point underdogs.
  • Denver compiled a 7-10-0 record against the spread last season.
  • The Broncos were favored by 4 points or more last season three times and failed to cover in all three.

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Total: Under 38.5

  • The DraftKings point total for this game is just four points higher than the model projection.
  • In six games last year, Denver and its opponent combined to score more than 38.5 points.
  • Last year, six Washington games featured more than 38.5 points scored.
  • The Broncos and their opponents combined to hit the over six out of 17 times last season.
  • The Commanders and their opponent combined to go over the point total five out of 17 times last year.

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Moneyline Winner: Commanders (+164)

  • Prediction:
    Washington 18 – Denver 17
  • Denver has been listed as the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they lost.
  • Washington will play as the underdog for the first time this season.

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Broncos and Commanders Splits

Broncos (2022) Commanders (2022)
Record 5-12 8-8-1
At Home 4-4 4-5
On the Road 1-8 4-3-1
In Conference 3-9 5-6-1
In Division 1-5 2-3-1
One Possession Games 4-9 5-3-1
Indoor 1-0 2-2
Outdoor 4-12 6-6-1

Interested in more information about this game? Check out the full preview here!

Sam Howell Passing TDs: Over 0.5 (-260)

  • 2023 Season: 202 PASS YDS / 202 YPG / 61.3% / 1 TD / 1 INT
  • In Commanders’ Last 5 Games: 202 PASS YDS / 202 YPG / 61.3% / 1 TD / 1 INT
  • In Commanders’ Last 3 Games: 202 PASS YDS / 202 YPG / 61.3% / 1 TD / 1 INT

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Brian Robinson Jr. Rushing Yards: Under 57.5 (-115)

  • 2023 Season: 19 CAR / 59 YDS / 59 YPG / 0 TD
  • In Commanders’ Last 5 Games: 19 CAR / 59 YDS / 59 YPG / 0 TD
  • In Commanders’ Last 3 Games: 19 CAR / 59 YDS / 59 YPG / 0 TD

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Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards: Under 49.5 (-135)

  • 2023 Season: 4 REC / 32 YDS / 32 YPG / 1 TD
  • In Broncos’ Last 5 Games: 4 REC / 32 YDS / 32 YPG / 1 TD
  • In Broncos’ Last 3 Games: 4 REC / 32 YDS / 32 YPG / 1 TD

Check out all of Sutton’s props for this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

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