The Jacksonville Jaguars (1-0) host the Kansas City Chiefs (0-1) at TIAA Bank Field on Sunday, September 17, 2023, and best bets information is available.
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Spread: Jaguars (+3.5) to Cover
- The data strongly suggests betting on the Jaguars in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Chiefs favored and the difference between the two is 10 points.
- Jacksonville covered eight times in 17 matchups with a spread last year.
- The Jaguars were an underdog by 3.5 points or more five times last year, and covered the spread in three of those games.
- Kansas City compiled a 6-10-1 record against the spread last season.
- The Chiefs were favored by 3.5 points or more 14 times last season, and covered the spread in four of those matchups.
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Total: Under 50.5
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (46.5 points) a little lower than the DraftKings over/under (50.5 points).
- In 11 games last season, Kansas City and its opponent combined to score more than 50.5 points.
- There were six Jacksonville games last season with more than 50.5 points scored.
- Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total eight times in Chiefs games.
- Jaguars games hit the over eight out of 17 times last season.
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Moneyline Winner: Jaguars (+150)
- Prediction:
Jacksonville 26 – Kansas City 20 - Kansas City has been the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they lost.
- This is the first time Jacksonville will play as an underdog this season.
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Chiefs and Jaguars Splits
| Chiefs (2022) | Jaguars (2022) | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 14-3 | 9-8 |
| At Home | 7-1 | 5-3 |
| On the Road | 7-2 | 4-5 |
| In Conference | 9-3 | 8-4 |
| In Division | 6-0 | 4-2 |
| One Possession Games | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Indoor | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Outdoor | 12-2 | 8-5 |
Interested in more information about this game? Check out the full preview here!
Patrick Mahomes II Passing TDs: Under 2.5 (-166)
- 2023 Season: 226 PASS YDS / 226 YPG / 53.8% / 2 TD / 1 INT
- In Chiefs’ Last 5 Games: 226 PASS YDS / 226 YPG / 53.8% / 2 TD / 1 INT
- In Chiefs’ Last 3 Games: 226 PASS YDS / 226 YPG / 53.8% / 2 TD / 1 INT
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Travis Etienne Rushing Yards: Under 62.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 18 CAR / 77 YDS / 77 YPG / 1 TD
- In Jaguars’ Last 5 Games: 18 CAR / 77 YDS / 77 YPG / 1 TD
- In Jaguars’ Last 3 Games: 18 CAR / 77 YDS / 77 YPG / 1 TD
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Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards: Under 74.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 8 REC / 101 YDS / 101 YPG / 1 TD
- In Jaguars’ Last 5 Games: 8 REC / 101 YDS / 101 YPG / 1 TD
- In Jaguars’ Last 3 Games: 8 REC / 101 YDS / 101 YPG / 1 TD
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