The Atlanta Falcons (1-0) square off against the Green Bay Packers (1-0) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, September 17, 2023. We have best bets recommendations for you.
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Spread: Packers (+3) to Cover
- The data strongly suggests betting on the Packers in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Falcons favored and the difference between the two is 12 points.
- Green Bay compiled an 8-9-0 record against the spread last year.
- The Packers were an underdog by 3 points or more four times last year, and covered the spread in three of those games.
- Atlanta compiled a 9-8-0 record against the spread last season.
- The Falcons covered the spread once when favored by 3 points or more last season (in three opportunities).
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Total: Over 40
- The model predicts a total six points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Atlanta games finished with more than 40 points 10 times last year.
- Green Bay games finished with over 40 points scored 10 times last year.
- Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total seven times in Falcons games.
- A total of eight Packers games last season went over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Packers (+130)
- Prediction:
Green Bay 28 – Atlanta 18 - Atlanta has been the moneyline favorite only one other time so far this season, a game they won.
- Green Bay won the only game it has played as the underdog this season.
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Falcons and Packers Splits
| Falcons (2022) | Packers (2022) | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7-10 | 8-9 |
| At Home | 6-3 | 5-4 |
| On the Road | 1-7 | 3-5 |
| In Conference | 6-6 | 6-6 |
| In Division | 2-4 | 3-3 |
| One Possession Games | 5-8 | 4-5 |
| Indoor | 6-4 | 0-2 |
| Outdoor | 1-6 | 8-7 |
Interested in more information about this game? Take a look at the full preview here!
Desmond Ridder Passing TDs: Under 1.5 (-238)
- 2023 Season: 115 PASS YDS / 115 YPG / 83.3% / 1 TD / 0 INT
- In Falcons’ Last 5 Games: 115 PASS YDS / 115 YPG / 83.3% / 1 TD / 0 INT
- In Falcons’ Last 3 Games: 115 PASS YDS / 115 YPG / 83.3% / 1 TD / 0 INT
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Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards: Under 56.5 (-110)
- 2023 Season: 10 CAR / 56 YDS / 56 YPG / 0 TD
- In Falcons’ Last 5 Games: 10 CAR / 56 YDS / 56 YPG / 0 TD
- In Falcons’ Last 3 Games: 10 CAR / 56 YDS / 56 YPG / 0 TD
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Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards: Under 36.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 2 REC / 44 YDS / 44 YPG / 0 TD
- In Falcons’ Last 5 Games: 2 REC / 44 YDS / 44 YPG / 0 TD
- In Falcons’ Last 3 Games: 2 REC / 44 YDS / 44 YPG / 0 TD
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