The New York Yankees (75-73) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (69-79) on Saturday at PNC Park, at 6:35 PM ET.
As the favorite, the Yankees (-119 moneyline odds to win) play at the Pirates (+100). The total for this game is 9.
The betting facts in the article below are based off odds valid as of September 16, 2023 at 5:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -119 | +100 | 9 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- This season, the Yankees have won 49 out of the 90 games, or 54.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
- New York has a record of 43-30 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -119 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 54.3%.
- So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 67 of 148 games with a total.
- The Yankees have an ATS record of 73-75-0 in 148 games with a spread this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have come away with 49 wins in the 116 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 45 times in 107 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 79 of its 148 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Pirates are 74-74-0 against the spread in their 148 games that had a posted line this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.70 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Luke Weaver
- Weaver’s team is 14-8-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Saturday, Sept. 9, when he threw 4 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs while allowing four hits to the Tampa Bay Rays.
- In 22 starts, Weaver has pitched through or past the fifth inning nine times. He has a season average of 4.2 frames per outing.
- He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in 26 chances this season.
- Weaver’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Weaver’s team has won 12 of his 22 starts this season.
- In Weaver’s 22 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 12 times.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 61 | 54 | 51 | 2.83 | 18 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 59 | 58 | 66 | 2.64 | 5 | 20 |
| Tommy Kahnle | 41 | 40 | 48 | 2.48 | 14 | 2 |
| Michael King | 39 | 87.2 | 108 | 2.77 | 8 | 6 |
| Nick Ramirez | 29 | 38 | 27 | 2.61 | 2 | 1 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Luis Ortiz
- Ortiz makes the start for the Pirates, his 14th of the season. He is 4-4 with a 4.66 ERA and 48 strikeouts through 73 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Sunday against the Atlanta Braves, the right-hander tossed 5 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering three hits.
- Ortiz will look to last five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 4.9 frames per outing.
- He has not made an appearance yet in 2023 that he did not allow at least one earned run.
- The Pirates have a 6-6 record in Ortiz’s 12 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Ortiz’s team has compiled a 6-7 record in his 13 starts.
- Ortiz’s starts hit the over on the run total six times in 13 games with a set total this season.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 59 | 62 | 69 | 1.89 | 0 | 35 |
| Colin Holderman | 55 | 54.1 | 56 | 3.48 | 27 | 2 |
| Jose Hernandez | 42 | 45.1 | 57 | 4.17 | 5 | 0 |
| Ryan Borucki | 29 | 34.2 | 30 | 2.86 | 6 | 0 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | 27 | 30 | 28 | 2.10 | 7 | 0 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees are 57-19 this season in games when they send out two or more home runs.
- New York has gone 19-4 in its 23 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits 86 times this season, and has a 58-28 record in those games.
- New York is 54-16 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Yankees have drawn five or more walks in 49 games this season, and are 29-20 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They have won 28 of the 37 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 29 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 23-6.
- They have a record of 49-23 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Pittsburgh has a 44-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 21 of their 42 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+100)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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