Tyler Glasnow will attempt to pick up his 10th win of the season when the Tampa Bay Rays (92-57) visit the Baltimore Orioles (91-56) at 7:05 PM ET on Saturday.
The Rays are favored (-127 moneyline odds to win) when they take on the Orioles (+106). The total for the game is 7.5 total runs.
The betting insights in this article reference odds valid as of September 16, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -127 | +106 | 7.5 |
Rays Betting Insights
- This season, the Rays have been favored 121 times and won 80, or 66.1%, of those games.
- Tampa Bay has entered 100 games this season favored by -127 or more and is 73-27 in those contests.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 55.9% chance to win.
- Games involving Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 79 of 149 chances this season.
- In 149 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 84-65-0 ATS.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 2.83 |
| K/9 | 11.4 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have won in 42, or 56.8%, of the 74 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Baltimore has a win-loss record of 27-21 when favored by +106 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 48.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 77 of its 147 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Orioles have posted a record of 89-58-0 against the spread this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 7.2 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Glasnow
- When Glasnow starts, his team is 13-5-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Monday, when he tossed six innings while giving up four earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Minnesota Twins.
- Glasnow has 13 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- In 18 appearances this season, he has finished one without allowing an earned run.
- When Glasnow starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 11-7.
- Glasnow’s team has won 11 of his 18 starts this season.
- In Glasnow’s 18 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Poche | 59 | 54.1 | 53 | 2.15 | 20 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 58 | 52 | 60 | 3.63 | 8 | 0 |
| Robert Stephenson | 55 | 48.1 | 71 | 3.17 | 15 | 1 |
| Kevin Kelly | 51 | 60.2 | 49 | 3.12 | 11 | 2 |
| Pete Fairbanks | 45 | 41.1 | 61 | 2.18 | 2 | 24 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Grayson Rodriguez
- Rodriguez (5-4 with a 4.88 ERA and 110 strikeouts in 103 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Orioles, his 21st of the season.
- In his last appearance on Sunday, the right-hander threw 4 1/3 innings against the Boston Red Sox, allowing two earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Rodriguez will look to pick up his 16th matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance.
- In four of his appearances this season he did not give up an earned run.
- The Orioles have been the moneyline underdog in 11 of Rodriguez’s starts this season, and they went 6-5 in those matchups.
- Over Rodriguez’s 20 starts, his team is 12-8.
- Rodriguez has had 20 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and 14 of those matchups finished over the total.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeinier Cano | 63 | 67.1 | 58 | 2.00 | 29 | 6 |
| Cionel Pérez | 57 | 50 | 42 | 3.24 | 9 | 1 |
| Jorge López | 54 | 53.2 | 45 | 6.04 | 10 | 3 |
| Danny Coulombe | 53 | 45.1 | 53 | 2.38 | 22 | 2 |
| Shintaro Fujinami | 50 | 75 | 81 | 6.96 | 4 | 2 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have put up at least two home runs in 65 games this season, and are 49-16 in those contests.
- Tampa Bay is 35-3 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together at least eight hits 98 times this season, and has a 69-29 record in those games.
- Tampa Bay is 69-20 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Rays are 28-9 over the 37 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They are 42-14 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 37 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 34-3.
- In 95 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 68-27.
- In 82 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 71-11.
- In 37 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 28-9
Rays vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (+106)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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