Two of MLB’s best hitters will square off when the Atlanta Braves (96-51) and Miami Marlins (76-72) meet on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, at LoanDepot park. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a .337 batting average (third in league) for the Braves, while Luis Arraez ranks first, batting .349 for the Marlins.
An expected tight contest pits the Braves (-118 on the moneyline) against the Marlins (-101). The game’s total is set at 9.
The insights in what follows reference odds valid as of September 16, 2023 at 3:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -118 | -101 | 9 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have won 88 out of the 133 games, or 66.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Atlanta has entered 128 games this season favored by -118 or more and is 86-42 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 81 of 147 opportunities.
- The Braves are 78-69-0 against the spread in their 147 chances this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 20 |
| ERA | 5.80 |
| K/9 | 10.8 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been underdogs in 80 games this season and have come away with the win 36 times (45%) in those contests.
- This season, Miami has been victorious 30 times in 71 chances when named as an underdog of at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 50.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Miami’s games have gone over the total in 68 of its 148 opportunities.
- The Marlins are 67-81-0 against the spread in their 148 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.34 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Jared Shuster
- Shuster and his team are 5-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, Aug. 27, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs while allowing four hits against the San Francisco Giants.
- Shuster has made six starts of five or more innings in 10 chances this season, and averages 4.9 frames when he pitches.
- He has not pitched this season without allowing at least one earned run.
- Shuster’s team is 5-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Shuster’s team is 5-5 when he starts this season.
- In Shuster’s 10 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over four times.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 63 | 58.2 | 74 | 3.84 | 19 | 10 |
| Pierce Johnson | 62 | 59 | 85 | 4.73 | 11 | 13 |
| Kirby Yates | 55 | 56.2 | 76 | 2.7 | 8 | 5 |
| Brad Hand | 55 | 49.2 | 54 | 5.07 | 4 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 53 | 51.2 | 67 | 3.31 | 12 | 0 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Bryan Hoeing
- The Marlins will send Hoeing (2-2) to make his 10th start of the season. He is 2-2 with a 4.04 ERA and 49 strikeouts through 62 1/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last appeared in relief on Thursday, when he threw one scoreless inning against the Milwaukee Brewers without surrendering a hit.
- Hoeing enters this game with two outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- He has had 18 appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Marlins are 3-2 in Hoeing’s five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- In Hoeing’s nine starts, his team is 6-3.
- Hoeing has started nine games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in six of them.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 62 | 70.1 | 94 | 2.18 | 24 | 9 |
| David Robertson | 56 | 59.2 | 68 | 3.32 | 8 | 19 |
| Andrew Nardi | 53 | 51 | 65 | 2.82 | 16 | 2 |
| A.J. Puk | 52 | 49.2 | 69 | 4.35 | 1 | 15 |
| Steven Okert | 52 | 53.2 | 66 | 3.86 | 12 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have a 61-21 record this season in games when they smash at least two home runs.
- Atlanta has gone 35-4 in its 39 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has collected eight or more hits 103 times this season, and has a 73-30 record in those games.
- Atlanta has a 76-20 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Braves have drawn five or more walks in 40 games this season, and are 28-12 in those contests.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 46 games this season and are 24-22 in those matchups.
- Miami has gone 25-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 62 of the 107 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Miami has a 53-14 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 32 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 20-12
Braves vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-118)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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