The Cleveland Guardians (70-78) and Texas Rangers (82-65) clash on Saturday at 6:10 PM ET, at Progressive Field.
The Guardians are favored (-125 on the moneyline) when they host the Rangers (+106). The game’s total is set at 8.
The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of September 16, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Rangers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -125 | +106 | 8 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been favorites in 69 games this season and won 36 (52.2%) of those contests.
- Cleveland is 27-27 this season when entering a game favored by -125 or more on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 62 of 147 opportunities.
- In 147 games with a spread this season, the Guardians are 77-70-0 ATS.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.72 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have been underdogs in 47 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (51.1%) in those contests.
- This season, Texas has been victorious 12 times in 28 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Texas and its opponents have gone over in 78 of its 147 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Rangers have posted a record of 78-69-0 against the spread this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.87 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Tanner Bibee
- When Bibee starts, his team is 17-7-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up two earned runs on two hits in a matchup with the Los Angeles Angels.
- Bibee has pitched five or more innings in 15 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 24 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
- Bibee’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-3.
- Bibee’s team has won 13 of his 24 starts.
- Games started by Bibee have a 9-15-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 68 | 67.2 | 60 | 3.06 | 0 | 40 |
| Trevor Stephan | 65 | 64 | 70 | 3.38 | 26 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 63 | 59.2 | 57 | 3.47 | 15 | 0 |
| Reynaldo López | 59 | 60.2 | 76 | 3.56 | 17 | 6 |
| Eli Morgan | 56 | 60.1 | 66 | 4.03 | 8 | 1 |
Rangers Probable Pitcher – Dane Dunning
- Dunning makes the start for the Rangers, his 23rd of the season. He is 10-6 with a 3.91 ERA and 122 strikeouts in 152 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last time out came on Monday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when the right-hander threw six innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Dunning is looking for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.9 frames per start.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in seven of his 31 appearances this season.
- The Rangers have been the moneyline underdog in nine of Dunning’s starts this season, and they went 4-5 in those matchups.
- Dunning’s team has won 11 of his 22 starts.
- Dunning has had 22 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and 10 of those outings hit the over.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Stratton | 58 | 79.1 | 79 | 3.74 | 8 | 1 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 54 | 54 | 97 | 2.83 | 13 | 5 |
| Will Smith | 54 | 53.1 | 51 | 3.71 | 7 | 22 |
| José Leclerc | 49 | 49.2 | 57 | 3.08 | 6 | 2 |
| Brock Burke | 49 | 58.1 | 49 | 4.32 | 11 | 0 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians have a 21-8 record in games this season when they hit two or more home runs.
- Cleveland is 20-6 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together eight or more hits in 90 games this season, and is 47-43 in those contests.
- Cleveland is 41-14 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Guardians have drawn five or more walks in 37 games this season, and are 20-17 in those contests.
Rangers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 70 games this season and are 50-20 in those matchups.
- In 49 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 35-14.
- They have a record of 76-40 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 95 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 71-24.
- In 52 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 33-19
Guardians vs. Rangers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rangers (+106)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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