Carlos Santana leads the Milwaukee Brewers (83-64) into a matchup against the Washington Nationals (65-83) after homering twice in a 5-3 victory over the Nationals. It starts at 7:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Nationals are a heavy underdog (+230 moneyline odds to win) when they square off against the Brewers (-293). The contest has an over/under of 8.
The betting facts in the following article reference odds valid as of September 16, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -293 | +230 | 8 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have won 44, or 57.9%, of the 76 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Milwaukee has not been bigger favorites this season than the -293 moneyline set for this game.
- The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 74.6%.
- Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 66 of its 147 chances.
- In 147 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 75-72-0 ATS.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 1.96 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been victorious in 57, or 41.6%, of the 137 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Washington has a win-loss record of 2-4 when favored by +230 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 30.3% chance of walking away with the win.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 70 of its 147 opportunities.
- The Nationals are 78-69-0 against the spread in their 147 games that had a posted line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 5.52 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes
- When Burnes starts, his team is 11-18-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander did not allow a run or hit in eight innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the New York Yankees.
- Burnes has 27 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has seven appearances with no earned runs allowed in 29 chances this season.
- When Burnes starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 13-9.
- In games Burnes has started, his team is 15-14.
- Out of Burnes’ 29 starts with a total this season, 14 have hit the over.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 66 | 59 | 56 | 2.14 | 16 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 61 | 65 | 72 | 2.35 | 25 | 3 |
| Elvis Peguero | 57 | 60 | 52 | 3.45 | 20 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 57 | 55.2 | 82 | 1.62 | 0 | 35 |
| Andrew Chafin | 53 | 45.1 | 60 | 5.36 | 12 | 8 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams
- Williams gets the start for the Nationals, his 29th of the season. He is 6-10 with a 5.44 ERA and 106 strikeouts through 139 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s last appearance was on Sunday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when he threw 4 1/3 innings, surrendering six earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Williams will try to secure his 19th outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.0 innings per appearance.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in four of his 28 outings this season.
- The Nationals have a 10-15 record in Williams’ 25 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- In Williams’ 28 starts, his team is 13-15.
- Williams’ starts hit the over on the run total 11 times in 27 games with a set total this season.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 60 | 63.2 | 59 | 3.11 | 8 | 25 |
| Hunter Harvey | 52 | 54 | 62 | 3.00 | 17 | 10 |
| Jordan Weems | 45 | 50 | 53 | 3.06 | 7 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 37 | 41.1 | 37 | 5.01 | 4 | 0 |
| Jose Ferrer | 32 | 29 | 21 | 3.72 | 5 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers are 42-10 this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- Milwaukee has put up at least five extra-base hits in 18 games this season, and won every time.
- The club is 56-19 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
- Milwaukee has a 68-10 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Brewers have drawn five or more walks in 50 games this season, and are 38-12 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They are 24-14 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Washington has won 18 of its 23 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 53-43 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Washington has won 46 of its 63 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 27 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 16-11
Brewers vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-293)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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