Ezekiel Elliott: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 2 Patriots Vs Dolphins – September 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 15, 2023

NFL play in Week 2 will see the New England Patriots and Ezekiel Elliott match up against the Miami Dolphins at 8:20 PM ET on Sunday.

Ezekiel Elliott Player Props vs the Dolphins

Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
23.5 -110 7.5 -105 +250

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 7 3
Games w/1+ TDs 10 0
Games w/2+ TDs 2 0

Ezekiel Elliott’s Rushing Trends

  • Elliott totaled 876 rushing yards on 231 carries (58.4 yards per game) last season, with 12 touchdowns.
  • He averaged 3.8 rushing yards per attempt (876 yards on 231 carries), 41st in the league.
  • Elliott was 22nd in the NFL with 876 yards on the ground last season, and his 12 rushing TDs ranked fifth.

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Elliott’s Receiving Trends

  • Last season Elliott gained 4.0 yards per reception.

This Week’s Predictions

Elliott (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Dolphins (2022) Prediction
23.5+ Rushing Yards 93.3% 89% 82.1% 90%
1+ Rushing TDs 66.7% 35.1% 39.3% 55.9%
2+ Rushing TDs 13.3% 6.4% 7.1% 10.9%
7.5+ Receiving Yards 26.7% 95.2% 93% 51.8%
1+ Receiving TDs 0% 22.3% 26% 9.3%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3.2% 1% 0.6%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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