Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 15, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 15, 2023

The New York Yankees (74-73) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (69-78) to start a three-game series at PNC Park, with first pitch at 6:35 PM ET on Friday. The Yankees are coming off a series victory over the Red Sox, and the Pirates a series win over the Nationals.

The Pirates (+140 underdog moneyline odds) take the field at home against the Yankees (-167). The contest has a set total of 7.5.

The betting facts in the following article use the latest odds as of September 15, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Yankees vs Pirates Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Yankees -167 +140 7.5

Yankees Betting Insights

  • This season, the Yankees have been favored 89 times and won 48, or 53.9%, of those games.
  • This season New York has won 20 of its 27 games, or 74.1%, when favored by at least -167 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 62.5% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • New York and its opponents have hit the over in 66 of its 147 games with a total this season.
  • In 147 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 72-75-0 ATS.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 8
ERA 4.16
K/9 10.7

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have won in 49, or 42.6%, of the 115 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 20 times in 45 chances when named as an underdog of at least +140 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 41.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 78 of its 147 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Pirates have an against the spread mark of 74-73-0 in 147 games with a line this season.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.0
HR 11
ERA 4.19
K/9 7.1

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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Gerrit Cole

  • Cole’s team is 16-14-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed seven innings without allowing a run on three hits in a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
  • Cole will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
  • He has made 30 appearances and finished six of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Cole’s team has a record of 19-8 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Cole’s team has won 20 of his 30 starts this season.
  • Games Cole has started this season hit the over 11 times in 30 chances.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 61 54 51 2.83 18 4
Clay Holmes 58 57 65 2.68 5 19
Tommy Kahnle 41 40 48 2.48 14 2
Michael King 39 87.2 108 2.77 8 6
Nick Ramirez 28 36.2 27 2.70 2 1

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Juan Carlos Oviedo

  • Oviedo (8-14) takes the mound first for the Pirates in his 30th start of the season. He has a 4.34 ERA in 161 2/3 innings pitched, with 140 strikeouts.
  • The right-hander’s most recent appearance came on Saturday against the Atlanta Braves, when he tossed 3 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up nine hits.
  • Oviedo has put up 21 starts this campaign that he pitched five or more innings.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in three of his 29 appearances this season.
  • The Pirates are 7-15 in Oviedo’s 22 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Oviedo’s team is 12-17 over his 29 starts.
  • Oviedo’s starts hit the over on the run total 13 times in 29 games with a set total this season.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
David Bednar 59 62 69 1.89 0 35
Colin Holderman 54 53.1 56 2.87 27 2
Jose Hernandez 42 45.1 57 4.17 5 0
Ryan Borucki 29 34.2 30 2.86 6 0
Carmen Mlodzinski 26 29 27 2.17 6 0

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • The Yankees have hit at least two home runs in 76 games this season, and are 57-19 in those contests.
  • New York is 19-4 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team is 57-28 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
  • New York is 53-16 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Yankees are 28-20 over the 48 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 37 games this season and are 28-9 in those matchups.
  • Pittsburgh has gone 23-6 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 71 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 49-22.
  • Pittsburgh has won 44 of its 55 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 42 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 21-21

Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+140)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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