The Baltimore Orioles (91-55) hope to stop their three-game losing run versus the Tampa Bay Rays (91-57), at 7:05 PM ET on Friday.
The Orioles (+109 underdog on the moneyline to win) take the field at home against the Rays (-131). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of September 15, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -131 | +109 | 8.5 |
Rays Betting Insights
- This season, the Rays have been favored 120 times and won 79, or 65.8%, of those games.
- Tampa Bay has a record of 67-27, a 71.3% win rate, when favored by -131 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The Rays have a 56.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 79 of 148 games with a total.
- The Rays have an ATS record of 83-65-0 in 148 games with a spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 2.97 |
| K/9 | 11.3 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 73 games this year and have walked away with the win 42 times (57.5%) in those games.
- This year, Baltimore has won 25 of 44 games when listed as at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 77 of its 146 opportunities.
- The Orioles have posted a record of 89-57-0 against the spread this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.4 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.90 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Zach Eflin
- Eflin’s team is 15-13-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in five innings against the Seattle Mariners.
- Eflin has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has finished five appearances without allowing an earned run in 28 chances this season.
- Eflin’s team has been victorious in 74.1% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 20-7.
- Eflin’s team has won 20 of his 28 starts.
- Out of Eflin’s 28 starts with a total this season, 14 have hit the over.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Poche | 59 | 54.1 | 53 | 2.15 | 20 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 57 | 51 | 57 | 3.71 | 8 | 0 |
| Robert Stephenson | 55 | 48.1 | 71 | 3.17 | 15 | 1 |
| Kevin Kelly | 51 | 60.2 | 49 | 3.12 | 11 | 2 |
| Pete Fairbanks | 45 | 41.1 | 61 | 2.18 | 2 | 24 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Jack Flaherty
- Flaherty (8-8) gets the starting nod for the Orioles in his 27th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.98 ERA in 137 1/3 innings pitched, with 138 strikeouts.
- The righty last pitched on Saturday against the Boston Red Sox, when he threw 3 1/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Flaherty has put together 19 starts this year where he pitched five or more innings.
- In five of his appearances this season he did not allow an earned run.
- The Orioles are 10-4 in Flaherty’s 14 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Flaherty’s team is 16-10 over his 26 starts.
- Flaherty has started 26 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 16 of them.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeinier Cano | 63 | 67.1 | 58 | 2.00 | 29 | 6 |
| Cionel Pérez | 56 | 49 | 42 | 3.31 | 9 | 1 |
| Jorge López | 54 | 53.2 | 45 | 6.04 | 10 | 3 |
| Danny Coulombe | 53 | 45.1 | 53 | 2.38 | 22 | 2 |
| Shintaro Fujinami | 50 | 75 | 81 | 6.96 | 4 | 2 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have racked up at least two long balls in 64 games this season, and are 48-16 in those outings.
- Tampa Bay has put up at least five extra-base hits in 37 games this season, and has gone 34-3 in those outings.
- The club is 68-29 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Tampa Bay is 68-20 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Rays have drawn at least five walks in 37 games this season, and are 28-9 in those contests.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They have won 42 of the 56 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Baltimore has gone 34-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 68 of the 95 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Baltimore has a 71-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 28 of their 37 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Rays vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (+109)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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