Rangers vs. Guardians Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 15, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 15, 2023

The Texas Rangers (82-64) and Cleveland Guardians (69-78) square off on Friday at 7:10 PM ET, opening a three-game series at Progressive Field.

The Rangers are the road favorite (-123) versus the Guardians (+102). The game’s over/under is 8.

The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of September 15, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rangers vs Guardians Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rangers -123 +102 8

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have won 58, or 58.6%, of the 99 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Texas is 50-35 this season when entering a game favored by -123 or more on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 55.2% chance to win.
  • Games involving Texas has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 77 of 146 chances this season.
  • The Rangers are 78-68-0 ATS in their 146 games with a spread this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.0
HR 18
ERA 5.80
K/9 8.3

Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 76 games this year and have walked away with the win 33 times (43.4%) in those games.
  • This season, Cleveland has been victorious 28 times in 63 chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 49.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 61 of its 146 opportunities.
  • In 146 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 76-70-0 against the spread.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 7
ERA 5.48
K/9 7.8

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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jon Gray

  • Gray’s team is 11-15-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed four hits in 2 2/3 innings pitched against the Oakland Athletics on Sunday.
  • Gray has made 21 starts of five or more innings in 26 chances this season, and averages 5.6 frames when he pitches.
  • In 26 appearances this season, he has finished four without allowing an earned run.
  • Gray’s team has been victorious in 52.6% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 10-9.
  • Gray’s team has won 15 of his 26 starts this season.
  • Games Gray has started this season hit the over 13 times in 26 chances.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Chris Stratton 58 79.1 79 3.74 8 1
Aroldis Chapman 54 54 97 2.83 13 5
Will Smith 54 53.1 51 3.71 7 22
José Leclerc 49 49.2 57 3.08 6 2
Brock Burke 49 58.1 49 4.32 11 0

Guardians Probable Pitcher – Lucas Giolito

  • Giolito (7-13 with a 4.89 ERA and 177 strikeouts in 163 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Guardians, his 30th of the season.
  • His most recent time out was on Sunday against the Los Angeles Angels, when the righty threw seven innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • Giolito enters the matchup with 24 outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in three of his 29 outings this season.
  • The Guardians are 3-15 in Giolito’s 18 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • In Giolito’s 29 starts, his team is 8-21.
  • Giolito’s starts went over the run total 14 times in 29 games with a set total this season.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Emmanuel Clase 68 67.2 60 3.06 0 40
Trevor Stephan 65 64 70 3.38 26 2
Enyel De Los Santos 63 59.2 57 3.47 15 0
Reynaldo López 59 60.2 76 3.56 17 6
Eli Morgan 55 59.1 63 3.64 8 1

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • The Rangers have racked up at least two homers in 70 games this season, and are 50-20 in those outings.
  • Texas has collected five or more extra-base hits in 49 games this season, and has gone 35-14 in those contests.
  • The team has racked up at least eight hits in 116 games this season, and is 76-40 in those contests.
  • Texas is 71-24 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Rangers are 33-19 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Guardians Hitting Trends

  • They are 20-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Cleveland has won 19 of its 25 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 89 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 46-43.
  • Cleveland has won 40 of its 54 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 36 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 19-17

Rangers vs. Guardians Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-123)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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