The Chicago Cubs (78-69) and Arizona Diamondbacks (76-72) both head into Friday’s contest on losing streaks. The Cubs have dropped two in a row, the Diamondbacks three in a row.
The Cubs are the road favorite (-136) versus the Diamondbacks (+113). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of September 15, 2023 at 9:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -136 | +113 | 8.5 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have entered the game as favorites 83 times this season and won 48, or 57.8%, of those games.
- Chicago is 28-16 this season when entering a game favored by -136 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Cubs, based on the moneyline, is 57.6%.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 70 of 147 opportunities.
- The Cubs are 71-76-0 ATS in their 147 games with a spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.54 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 81 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (44.4%) in those games.
- Arizona has a mark of 22-28 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +113 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 46.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Contests with Arizona has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 64 of 148 chances this season.
- In 148 games with a line this season, the Diamondbacks have a mark of 79-69-0 against the spread.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.34 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Justin Steele
- Steele and his team are 14-13-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up one earned run on six hits in a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- Steele has 15 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has seven appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 27 chances this season.
- Steele’s team has a record of 13-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Steele’s team is 19-8 when he starts this season.
- In Steele’s 27 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 13 times.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 62 | 65 | 90 | 3.18 | 16 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 62 | 60.1 | 76 | 3.13 | 28 | 4 |
| Jose Cuas | 59 | 57.2 | 64 | 4.06 | 8 | 0 |
| Michael Fulmer | 54 | 57 | 65 | 4.42 | 11 | 2 |
| Daniel Palencia | 21 | 22 | 22 | 4.09 | 1 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Brandon Pfaadt
- The Diamondbacks are sending Pfaadt (1-8) to make his 17th start of the season. He is 1-8 with a 6.25 ERA and 72 strikeouts over 80 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Sunday against the Chicago Cubs, the right-hander tossed six innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Pfaadt has put up 10 starts this year that he pitched five or more innings.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 16 outings this season.
- The Diamondbacks have a 5-6 record in Pfaadt’s 11 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Pfaadt’s team has a 6-10 record over his 16 starts.
- Pfaadt has had 16 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in three of those outings.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Castro | 65 | 58.1 | 51 | 4.78 | 12 | 7 |
| Paul Sewald | 61 | 57 | 75 | 3.16 | 0 | 33 |
| Scott McGough | 60 | 70.1 | 86 | 4.73 | 14 | 9 |
| Kyle Nelson | 59 | 52.1 | 63 | 3.44 | 11 | 0 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 54 | 59.2 | 62 | 2.26 | 8 | 4 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs have hit at least two dingers in 59 games this season, and are 39-20 in those contests.
- Chicago has gone 27-3 in its 30 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 69-27 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- Chicago is 62-15 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Cubs are 26-20 over the 46 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 45 games this season and are 31-14 in those matchups.
- Arizona has won 21 of its 28 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 68-33 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Arizona has won 61 of its 80 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 24 of their 48 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-136)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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